Kevin Warsh, Federal Reserve Chair, delivered a hawkish Jackson Hole speech on August 28 emphasizing that PCE inflation at 3.7% year-over-year (with a 4.1% six-month rate) shows insufficient underlying progress toward the 2% target, stating the Fed has “work to do” and short-term rates remain the primary tool. This shifted trader expectations, lifting the implied probability of a September 15-16 rate hike above 50% per futures pricing. The next CPI release on September 11 will shape the FOMC statement and press conference tone, while Warsh’s prior conferences have centered on inflation frequency, price stability commitments, and resistance to detailed forward guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
Inflation 40+ times
43%
Inflation 20+ times
57%
Task Force 10+ times
46%
Good Day
87%
Good Afternoon
30%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
86%
Labor Force
45%
Scenario
47%
Echo
45%
Software
45%
Pressure
45%
Luck / Lucky
45%
Dissent
27%
Trump
7%
Productivity
71%
Bet / Betting
54%
Projection
53%
Balance Sheet
84%
Pandemic
59%
Anchor / Anchored
27%
Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas
40%
-No Qualifying Event-
40%
$269 ปริมาณ
Inflation 40+ times
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
Inflation 20+ times
$0 ปริมาณ
57%
Task Force 10+ times
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
Good Day
$7 ปริมาณ
87%
Good Afternoon
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$158 ปริมาณ
86%
Labor Force
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
Scenario
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
Echo
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
Software
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
Pressure
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
Luck / Lucky
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
Dissent
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
Trump
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
Productivity
$0 ปริมาณ
71%
Bet / Betting
$0 ปริมาณ
54%
Projection
$0 ปริมาณ
53%
Balance Sheet
$0 ปริมาณ
84%
Pandemic
$0 ปริมาณ
59%
Anchor / Anchored
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
-No Qualifying Event-
$104 ปริมาณ
40%
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfKevin Warsh, Federal Reserve Chair, delivered a hawkish Jackson Hole speech on August 28 emphasizing that PCE inflation at 3.7% year-over-year (with a 4.1% six-month rate) shows insufficient underlying progress toward the 2% target, stating the Fed has “work to do” and short-term rates remain the primary tool. This shifted trader expectations, lifting the implied probability of a September 15-16 rate hike above 50% per futures pricing. The next CPI release on September 11 will shape the FOMC statement and press conference tone, while Warsh’s prior conferences have centered on inflation frequency, price stability commitments, and resistance to detailed forward guidance.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$269วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 7:18 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfKevin Warsh, Federal Reserve Chair, delivered a hawkish Jackson Hole speech on August 28 emphasizing that PCE inflation at 3.7% year-over-year (with a 4.1% six-month rate) shows insufficient underlying progress toward the 2% target, stating the Fed has “work to do” and short-term rates remain the primary tool. This shifted trader expectations, lifting the implied probability of a September 15-16 rate hike above 50% per futures pricing. The next CPI release on September 11 will shape the FOMC statement and press conference tone, while Warsh’s prior conferences have centered on inflation frequency, price stability commitments, and resistance to detailed forward guidance.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$269วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 7:18 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh, Federal Reserve Chair, delivered a hawkish Jackson Hole speech on August 28 emphasizing that PCE inflation at 3.7% year-over-year (with a 4.1% six-month rate) shows insufficient underlying progress toward the 2% target, stating the Fed has “work to do” and short-term rates remain the primary tool. This shifted trader expectations, lifting the implied probability of a September 15-16 rate hike above 50% per futures pricing. The next CPI release on September 11 will shape the FOMC statement and press conference tone, while Warsh’s prior conferences have centered on inflation frequency, price stability commitments, and resistance to detailed forward guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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