The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at the 3.50–3.75% target range through multiple 2026 meetings, amid inflation near 3.4–3.5% and solid economic expansion with stable unemployment, underpins the 94.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent FOMC communications and the June dot plot reflect trader consensus favoring policy restraint or potential hikes, with median paths showing no easing until at least mid-2027 under Chair Kevin Warsh's focus on price stability. This skin-in-the-game pricing aligns with resilient labor data and supply-driven inflation pressures. A sharp labor-market deterioration, abrupt recession, or systemic financial shock could still prompt rapid accommodation despite the current hawkish tilt.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว6% โอกาส
$136,923 ปริมาณ
$136,923 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
6% โอกาส
$136,923 ปริมาณ
$136,923 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at the 3.50–3.75% target range through multiple 2026 meetings, amid inflation near 3.4–3.5% and solid economic expansion with stable unemployment, underpins the 94.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent FOMC communications and the June dot plot reflect trader consensus favoring policy restraint or potential hikes, with median paths showing no easing until at least mid-2027 under Chair Kevin Warsh's focus on price stability. This skin-in-the-game pricing aligns with resilient labor data and supply-driven inflation pressures. A sharp labor-market deterioration, abrupt recession, or systemic financial shock could still prompt rapid accommodation despite the current hawkish tilt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$136,923วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at the 3.50–3.75% target range through multiple 2026 meetings, amid inflation near 3.4–3.5% and solid economic expansion with stable unemployment, underpins the 94.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent FOMC communications and the June dot plot reflect trader consensus favoring policy restraint or potential hikes, with median paths showing no easing until at least mid-2027 under Chair Kevin Warsh's focus on price stability. This skin-in-the-game pricing aligns with resilient labor data and supply-driven inflation pressures. A sharp labor-market deterioration, abrupt recession, or systemic financial shock could still prompt rapid accommodation despite the current hawkish tilt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$136,923วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at the 3.50–3.75% target range through multiple 2026 meetings, amid inflation near 3.4–3.5% and solid economic expansion with stable unemployment, underpins the 94.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent FOMC communications and the June dot plot reflect trader consensus favoring policy restraint or potential hikes, with median paths showing no easing until at least mid-2027 under Chair Kevin Warsh's focus on price stability. This skin-in-the-game pricing aligns with resilient labor data and supply-driven inflation pressures. A sharp labor-market deterioration, abrupt recession, or systemic financial shock could still prompt rapid accommodation despite the current hawkish tilt.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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