Recent FOMC projections, including the June 2026 dot plot showing a median federal funds rate of 3.8% for year-end 2026, have aligned trader expectations with limited easing or modest hikes amid sticky inflation. Headline CPI stood at 3.4% in July, reflecting lingering effects from energy price shocks tied to geopolitical tensions, while core measures eased only gradually. The labor market remains stable with unemployment near 4.1-4.5%, supporting a resilient growth outlook that reduces pressure for cuts. With the current target range at 3.5-3.75% and no reductions implemented in 2026 so far, market pricing concentrates on 3.75% and 4.0% outcomes as the consensus path through December, reflecting the "higher for longer" stance and dispersion in official forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วอัตราดอกเบี้ยเฟดจะเป็นเท่าใดในตอนท้ายของปี 2026?
อัตราดอกเบี้ยเฟดจะเป็นเท่าใดในตอนท้ายของปี 2026?
3.75% 43.0%
4.0% 31.0%
4.25% 11.3%
3.5% 8.2%
$6,776,832 ปริมาณ
$6,776,832 ปริมาณ
Dec 8, 2026
≤1.0%
<1%
1.25
1%
1.5%
<1%
1.75%
<1%
2.0%
<1%
2.25%
<1%
2.5%
<1%
2.75%
1%
3.0%
<1%
3.25%
1%
3.5%
8%
3.75%
43%
4.0%
31%
4.25%
11%
≥ 4.5%
4%
3.75% 43.0%
4.0% 31.0%
4.25% 11.3%
3.5% 8.2%
$6,776,832 ปริมาณ
$6,776,832 ปริมาณ
Dec 8, 2026
≤1.0%
$249,013 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.25
$143,729 ปริมาณ
1%
1.5%
$146,989 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.75%
$149,288 ปริมาณ
<1%
2.0%
$264,523 ปริมาณ
<1%
2.25%
$88,603 ปริมาณ
<1%
2.5%
$173,560 ปริมาณ
<1%
2.75%
$61,685 ปริมาณ
1%
3.0%
$489,273 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.25%
$66,745 ปริมาณ
1%
3.5%
$203,161 ปริมาณ
8%
3.75%
$532,570 ปริมาณ
43%
4.0%
$1,370,069 ปริมาณ
31%
4.25%
$429,102 ปริมาณ
11%
≥ 4.5%
$2,408,524 ปริมาณ
4%
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).Recent FOMC projections, including the June 2026 dot plot showing a median federal funds rate of 3.8% for year-end 2026, have aligned trader expectations with limited easing or modest hikes amid sticky inflation. Headline CPI stood at 3.4% in July, reflecting lingering effects from energy price shocks tied to geopolitical tensions, while core measures eased only gradually. The labor market remains stable with unemployment near 4.1-4.5%, supporting a resilient growth outlook that reduces pressure for cuts. With the current target range at 3.5-3.75% and no reductions implemented in 2026 so far, market pricing concentrates on 3.75% and 4.0% outcomes as the consensus path through December, reflecting the "higher for longer" stance and dispersion in official forecasts.
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,776,832วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).Recent FOMC projections, including the June 2026 dot plot showing a median federal funds rate of 3.8% for year-end 2026, have aligned trader expectations with limited easing or modest hikes amid sticky inflation. Headline CPI stood at 3.4% in July, reflecting lingering effects from energy price shocks tied to geopolitical tensions, while core measures eased only gradually. The labor market remains stable with unemployment near 4.1-4.5%, supporting a resilient growth outlook that reduces pressure for cuts. With the current target range at 3.5-3.75% and no reductions implemented in 2026 so far, market pricing concentrates on 3.75% and 4.0% outcomes as the consensus path through December, reflecting the "higher for longer" stance and dispersion in official forecasts.
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,776,832วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent FOMC projections, including the June 2026 dot plot showing a median federal funds rate of 3.8% for year-end 2026, have aligned trader expectations with limited easing or modest hikes amid sticky inflation. Headline CPI stood at 3.4% in July, reflecting lingering effects from energy price shocks tied to geopolitical tensions, while core measures eased only gradually. The labor market remains stable with unemployment near 4.1-4.5%, supporting a resilient growth outlook that reduces pressure for cuts. With the current target range at 3.5-3.75% and no reductions implemented in 2026 so far, market pricing concentrates on 3.75% and 4.0% outcomes as the consensus path through December, reflecting the "higher for longer" stance and dispersion in official forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย