The Justice Department's April 2026 decision to drop its criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over headquarters renovation costs and June 2025 congressional testimony eliminated the primary near-term catalyst for formal charges. A federal judge had already quashed related subpoenas in March, citing insufficient evidence. With no active indictments or renewed investigations as of mid-August 2026, trader-implied odds on markets resolving to a federal charge by year-end remain low, reflecting the high institutional barriers to prosecuting a sitting Fed chair and historical precedent against such actions. Key upcoming factors include potential political shifts ahead of the November midterms and any FOMC-related scrutiny, though monetary policy independence norms continue to anchor market expectations against escalation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$318,661 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
4%
$318,661 ปริมาณ
December 31, 2026
$2,216 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Justice Department's April 2026 decision to drop its criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over headquarters renovation costs and June 2025 congressional testimony eliminated the primary near-term catalyst for formal charges. A federal judge had already quashed related subpoenas in March, citing insufficient evidence. With no active indictments or renewed investigations as of mid-August 2026, trader-implied odds on markets resolving to a federal charge by year-end remain low, reflecting the high institutional barriers to prosecuting a sitting Fed chair and historical precedent against such actions. Key upcoming factors include potential political shifts ahead of the November midterms and any FOMC-related scrutiny, though monetary policy independence norms continue to anchor market expectations against escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$318,661วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Justice Department's April 2026 decision to drop its criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over headquarters renovation costs and June 2025 congressional testimony eliminated the primary near-term catalyst for formal charges. A federal judge had already quashed related subpoenas in March, citing insufficient evidence. With no active indictments or renewed investigations as of mid-August 2026, trader-implied odds on markets resolving to a federal charge by year-end remain low, reflecting the high institutional barriers to prosecuting a sitting Fed chair and historical precedent against such actions. Key upcoming factors include potential political shifts ahead of the November midterms and any FOMC-related scrutiny, though monetary policy independence norms continue to anchor market expectations against escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$318,661วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Justice Department's April 2026 decision to drop its criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over headquarters renovation costs and June 2025 congressional testimony eliminated the primary near-term catalyst for formal charges. A federal judge had already quashed related subpoenas in March, citing insufficient evidence. With no active indictments or renewed investigations as of mid-August 2026, trader-implied odds on markets resolving to a federal charge by year-end remain low, reflecting the high institutional barriers to prosecuting a sitting Fed chair and historical precedent against such actions. Key upcoming factors include potential political shifts ahead of the November midterms and any FOMC-related scrutiny, though monetary policy independence norms continue to anchor market expectations against escalation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย