Strong market consensus around 26°C as the lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 18 reflects consistent forecast guidance from meteorological models, which project overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius amid typical late-summer humidity, cloud cover, and urban heat retention. Shanghai's subtropical climate produces average August minima near 25–26°C, with recent observations showing persistent warm, moist air masses and no significant cooling advection from northern systems. This positioning aligns with historical climatology for mid-August, where radiative cooling is limited by high dew points. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or unusually heavy nocturnal rainfall to drop readings below 25°C, though current model consensus shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 18?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 18?
26°C 98%
25°C 2%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
ใหม่
$14,880 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,880 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
98%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 98%
25°C 2%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
ใหม่
$14,880 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,880 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
$462 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$462 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$331 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$216 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$539 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$2,701 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$3,225 ปริมาณ
98%
27°C
$4,660 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,641 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$418 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$326 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong market consensus around 26°C as the lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 18 reflects consistent forecast guidance from meteorological models, which project overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius amid typical late-summer humidity, cloud cover, and urban heat retention. Shanghai's subtropical climate produces average August minima near 25–26°C, with recent observations showing persistent warm, moist air masses and no significant cooling advection from northern systems. This positioning aligns with historical climatology for mid-August, where radiative cooling is limited by high dew points. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or unusually heavy nocturnal rainfall to drop readings below 25°C, though current model consensus shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,880วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong market consensus around 26°C as the lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 18 reflects consistent forecast guidance from meteorological models, which project overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius amid typical late-summer humidity, cloud cover, and urban heat retention. Shanghai's subtropical climate produces average August minima near 25–26°C, with recent observations showing persistent warm, moist air masses and no significant cooling advection from northern systems. This positioning aligns with historical climatology for mid-August, where radiative cooling is limited by high dew points. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or unusually heavy nocturnal rainfall to drop readings below 25°C, though current model consensus shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,880วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong market consensus around 26°C as the lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 18 reflects consistent forecast guidance from meteorological models, which project overnight lows in the mid-20s Celsius amid typical late-summer humidity, cloud cover, and urban heat retention. Shanghai's subtropical climate produces average August minima near 25–26°C, with recent observations showing persistent warm, moist air masses and no significant cooling advection from northern systems. This positioning aligns with historical climatology for mid-August, where radiative cooling is limited by high dew points. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or unusually heavy nocturnal rainfall to drop readings below 25°C, though current model consensus shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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