Persistent high-pressure systems over Western Europe are sustaining warmer-than-average conditions into early August 2026, elevating Paris nighttime lows well above the 14–15°C climatological baseline. Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate minimal cooling overnight due to clear skies, light winds, and residual daytime heat, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability around 19–21°C minima for August 5. Short-term forecasts carry typical uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing and any late-arriving Atlantic moisture, but current consensus favors limited diurnal temperature drops. Updated model guidance and official observations in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 5?
20°C 36%
19°C 29%
18°C 17%
21°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
17%
19°C
29%
20°C
36%
21°C
14%
22°C
9%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 36%
19°C 29%
18°C 17%
21°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
16°C or below
$59 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$55 ปริมาณ
7%
18°C
$58 ปริมาณ
17%
19°C
$44 ปริมาณ
29%
20°C
$256 ปริมาณ
36%
21°C
$44 ปริมาณ
14%
22°C
$44 ปริมาณ
9%
23°C
$131 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$132 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$66 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C or higher
$66 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems over Western Europe are sustaining warmer-than-average conditions into early August 2026, elevating Paris nighttime lows well above the 14–15°C climatological baseline. Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate minimal cooling overnight due to clear skies, light winds, and residual daytime heat, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability around 19–21°C minima for August 5. Short-term forecasts carry typical uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing and any late-arriving Atlantic moisture, but current consensus favors limited diurnal temperature drops. Updated model guidance and official observations in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$955วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems over Western Europe are sustaining warmer-than-average conditions into early August 2026, elevating Paris nighttime lows well above the 14–15°C climatological baseline. Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate minimal cooling overnight due to clear skies, light winds, and residual daytime heat, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability around 19–21°C minima for August 5. Short-term forecasts carry typical uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing and any late-arriving Atlantic moisture, but current consensus favors limited diurnal temperature drops. Updated model guidance and official observations in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$955วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure systems over Western Europe are sustaining warmer-than-average conditions into early August 2026, elevating Paris nighttime lows well above the 14–15°C climatological baseline. Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate minimal cooling overnight due to clear skies, light winds, and residual daytime heat, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability around 19–21°C minima for August 5. Short-term forecasts carry typical uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing and any late-arriving Atlantic moisture, but current consensus favors limited diurnal temperature drops. Updated model guidance and official observations in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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