Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a peak near 34°C in Chengdu on August 5, driven by typical summer monsoon conditions with high humidity and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. This positions 34°C and 35°C+ as the closest market outcomes because small differences in steering patterns, afternoon shower timing, or urban heat island effects can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover around 30–32°C, but recent years show more frequent spikes above 34°C amid warming trends. Traders weigh model consensus updates and short-term variables like wind or precipitation probability ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 5?
35°C or higher 34%
34°C 33%
33°C 20%
32°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
6%
32°C
10%
33°C
20%
34°C
33%
35°C or higher
34%
35°C or higher 34%
34°C 33%
33°C 20%
32°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
6%
32°C
10%
33°C
20%
34°C
33%
35°C or higher
34%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a peak near 34°C in Chengdu on August 5, driven by typical summer monsoon conditions with high humidity and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. This positions 34°C and 35°C+ as the closest market outcomes because small differences in steering patterns, afternoon shower timing, or urban heat island effects can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover around 30–32°C, but recent years show more frequent spikes above 34°C amid warming trends. Traders weigh model consensus updates and short-term variables like wind or precipitation probability ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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