**Current forecasts position 24–26°C as the leading outcomes for Amsterdam’s highest temperature on August 5, 2026, consistent with market-implied probabilities centered on 25°C (41.5%), 24°C (29.0%), and 26°C (20.5%).** Official guidance from the BBC and European weather services shows a high near 24°C under partly cloudy skies with fresh southwesterly winds, following a warmer peak of around 30°C on August 4. This cooling reflects a shift in steering patterns and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Historical August averages near Schiphol hover around 22–23°C, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms while model runs continue to converge on the low-to-mid 20s. Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance most heavily, with limited upside risk unless a late-model shift allows stronger insolation. Resolution will use the official daily maximum recorded at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 5?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 5?
25°C 42%
24°C 31%
26°C 21%
23°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
8%
24°C
31%
25°C
42%
26°C
21%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 42%
24°C 31%
26°C 21%
23°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
20°C or below
$147 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$192 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$336 ปริมาณ
3%
23°C
$617 ปริมาณ
8%
24°C
$227 ปริมาณ
31%
25°C
$273 ปริมาณ
42%
26°C
$269 ปริมาณ
21%
27°C
$178 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$61 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$136 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$81 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position 24–26°C as the leading outcomes for Amsterdam’s highest temperature on August 5, 2026, consistent with market-implied probabilities centered on 25°C (41.5%), 24°C (29.0%), and 26°C (20.5%).**
Official guidance from the BBC and European weather services shows a high near 24°C under partly cloudy skies with fresh southwesterly winds, following a warmer peak of around 30°C on August 4. This cooling reflects a shift in steering patterns and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Historical August averages near Schiphol hover around 22–23°C, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms while model runs continue to converge on the low-to-mid 20s.
Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance most heavily, with limited upside risk unless a late-model shift allows stronger insolation. Resolution will use the official daily maximum recorded at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,517วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position 24–26°C as the leading outcomes for Amsterdam’s highest temperature on August 5, 2026, consistent with market-implied probabilities centered on 25°C (41.5%), 24°C (29.0%), and 26°C (20.5%).**
Official guidance from the BBC and European weather services shows a high near 24°C under partly cloudy skies with fresh southwesterly winds, following a warmer peak of around 30°C on August 4. This cooling reflects a shift in steering patterns and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Historical August averages near Schiphol hover around 22–23°C, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms while model runs continue to converge on the low-to-mid 20s.
Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance most heavily, with limited upside risk unless a late-model shift allows stronger insolation. Resolution will use the official daily maximum recorded at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,517วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts position 24–26°C as the leading outcomes for Amsterdam’s highest temperature on August 5, 2026, consistent with market-implied probabilities centered on 25°C (41.5%), 24°C (29.0%), and 26°C (20.5%).** Official guidance from the BBC and European weather services shows a high near 24°C under partly cloudy skies with fresh southwesterly winds, following a warmer peak of around 30°C on August 4. This cooling reflects a shift in steering patterns and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Historical August averages near Schiphol hover around 22–23°C, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms while model runs continue to converge on the low-to-mid 20s. Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance most heavily, with limited upside risk unless a late-model shift allows stronger insolation. Resolution will use the official daily maximum recorded at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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