Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a tight cluster of daily maximum temperatures around 32–33°C for Shenzhen on August 5, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions with elevated humidity and scattered convective showers are moderating peak heating, consistent with climatological August averages near 32°C at the official station. Minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud cover create the narrow uncertainty band separating 32°C from 33°C or 34°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, along with the next 48-hour guidance cycle, will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 5?
33°C 36%
32°C 31%
34°C 19%
31°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
31%
33°C
36%
34°C
19%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 36%
32°C 31%
34°C 19%
31°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
$336 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$404 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$1,399 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$355 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$481 ปริมาณ
12%
32°C
$523 ปริมาณ
31%
33°C
$635 ปริมาณ
36%
34°C
$579 ปริมาณ
19%
35°C
$2,006 ปริมาณ
4%
36°C
$119 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C or higher
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a tight cluster of daily maximum temperatures around 32–33°C for Shenzhen on August 5, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions with elevated humidity and scattered convective showers are moderating peak heating, consistent with climatological August averages near 32°C at the official station. Minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud cover create the narrow uncertainty band separating 32°C from 33°C or 34°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, along with the next 48-hour guidance cycle, will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,868วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a tight cluster of daily maximum temperatures around 32–33°C for Shenzhen on August 5, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions with elevated humidity and scattered convective showers are moderating peak heating, consistent with climatological August averages near 32°C at the official station. Minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud cover create the narrow uncertainty band separating 32°C from 33°C or 34°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, along with the next 48-hour guidance cycle, will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,868วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a tight cluster of daily maximum temperatures around 32–33°C for Shenzhen on August 5, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions with elevated humidity and scattered convective showers are moderating peak heating, consistent with climatological August averages near 32°C at the official station. Minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud cover create the narrow uncertainty band separating 32°C from 33°C or 34°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, along with the next 48-hour guidance cycle, will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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