Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's overnight low on August 5 around 27–28°C, driven by typical late-summer conditions with high humidity, weak winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing moderate radiative cooling. Recent early-August observations show daily lows near 27–29°C amid ongoing warm, muggy patterns without significant cold fronts or typhoon influences. Trader consensus centers on 28°C (46% implied probability) as the mode, reflecting model consensus on these baselines, while the spread to 27°C or 29°C accounts for minor forecast adjustments expected in updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Historical August averages for Shanghai lows hover near 26–28°C, providing climatological context for this narrow range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 5?
28°C 46%
29°C 24%
27°C 19%
26°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
19%
28°C
46%
29°C
24%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 24%
27°C 19%
26°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
$102 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$82 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$243 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$191 ปริมาณ
5%
27°C
$318 ปริมาณ
19%
28°C
$462 ปริมาณ
46%
29°C
$666 ปริมาณ
24%
30°C
$270 ปริมาณ
5%
31°C
$107 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$102 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's overnight low on August 5 around 27–28°C, driven by typical late-summer conditions with high humidity, weak winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing moderate radiative cooling. Recent early-August observations show daily lows near 27–29°C amid ongoing warm, muggy patterns without significant cold fronts or typhoon influences. Trader consensus centers on 28°C (46% implied probability) as the mode, reflecting model consensus on these baselines, while the spread to 27°C or 29°C accounts for minor forecast adjustments expected in updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Historical August averages for Shanghai lows hover near 26–28°C, providing climatological context for this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,695วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's overnight low on August 5 around 27–28°C, driven by typical late-summer conditions with high humidity, weak winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing moderate radiative cooling. Recent early-August observations show daily lows near 27–29°C amid ongoing warm, muggy patterns without significant cold fronts or typhoon influences. Trader consensus centers on 28°C (46% implied probability) as the mode, reflecting model consensus on these baselines, while the spread to 27°C or 29°C accounts for minor forecast adjustments expected in updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Historical August averages for Shanghai lows hover near 26–28°C, providing climatological context for this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,695วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's overnight low on August 5 around 27–28°C, driven by typical late-summer conditions with high humidity, weak winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing moderate radiative cooling. Recent early-August observations show daily lows near 27–29°C amid ongoing warm, muggy patterns without significant cold fronts or typhoon influences. Trader consensus centers on 28°C (46% implied probability) as the mode, reflecting model consensus on these baselines, while the spread to 27°C or 29°C accounts for minor forecast adjustments expected in updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Historical August averages for Shanghai lows hover near 26–28°C, providing climatological context for this narrow range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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