Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and models indicate a dry, sunny pattern over Paris on August 5, 2026, with maximum temperatures centered on 28–29 °C under building high pressure that suppresses cloud cover and limits moisture. This follows a period of elevated heat earlier in summer, now transitioning toward more typical early-August conditions with overnight lows near 20 °C that allow modest daytime recovery. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping probabilities highest for 28 °C and 29 °C while assigning only small weight to 27 °C or 30 °C outcomes if steering currents or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and observed stabilization in regional pressure fields, which favor this narrow band over broader historical August variability. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from official agencies will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 5?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 5?
28°C 46%
29°C 30%
27°C 19%
30°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
19%
28°C
46%
29°C
30%
30°C
7%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 30%
27°C 19%
30°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
$350 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$85 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$147 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$382 ปริมาณ
19%
28°C
$751 ปริมาณ
46%
29°C
$435 ปริมาณ
30%
30°C
$243 ปริมาณ
7%
31°C
$281 ปริมาณ
3%
32°C
$457 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$138 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C or higher
$259 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and models indicate a dry, sunny pattern over Paris on August 5, 2026, with maximum temperatures centered on 28–29 °C under building high pressure that suppresses cloud cover and limits moisture. This follows a period of elevated heat earlier in summer, now transitioning toward more typical early-August conditions with overnight lows near 20 °C that allow modest daytime recovery. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping probabilities highest for 28 °C and 29 °C while assigning only small weight to 27 °C or 30 °C outcomes if steering currents or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and observed stabilization in regional pressure fields, which favor this narrow band over broader historical August variability. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from official agencies will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,529วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and models indicate a dry, sunny pattern over Paris on August 5, 2026, with maximum temperatures centered on 28–29 °C under building high pressure that suppresses cloud cover and limits moisture. This follows a period of elevated heat earlier in summer, now transitioning toward more typical early-August conditions with overnight lows near 20 °C that allow modest daytime recovery. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping probabilities highest for 28 °C and 29 °C while assigning only small weight to 27 °C or 30 °C outcomes if steering currents or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and observed stabilization in regional pressure fields, which favor this narrow band over broader historical August variability. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from official agencies will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,529วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and models indicate a dry, sunny pattern over Paris on August 5, 2026, with maximum temperatures centered on 28–29 °C under building high pressure that suppresses cloud cover and limits moisture. This follows a period of elevated heat earlier in summer, now transitioning toward more typical early-August conditions with overnight lows near 20 °C that allow modest daytime recovery. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping probabilities highest for 28 °C and 29 °C while assigning only small weight to 27 °C or 30 °C outcomes if steering currents or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and observed stabilization in regional pressure fields, which favor this narrow band over broader historical August variability. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours from official agencies will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย