Recent model guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicates Beijing highs near 32–34 °C on August 5 under typical early-August monsoon conditions of high humidity and weak steering flows that limit strong heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the 34 % implied probability for 36 °C and 26 % for 35 °C, incorporates a modest upside bias alongside this guidance, as convective activity or variable cloud cover could either suppress peaks or allow brief clearing. Key differentiating factors include local boundary-layer mixing, potential thunderstorm timing, and diurnal temperature range, all of which remain sensitive to the next model cycles. Updated forecasts and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on August 5?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 5?
36°C 36%
35°C 25%
37°C 21%
34°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
12%
35°C
25%
36°C
36%
37°C
21%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 36%
35°C 25%
37°C 21%
34°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
29°C or below
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$338 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$229 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$550 ปริมาณ
3%
33°C
$291 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C
$170 ปริมาณ
12%
35°C
$272 ปริมาณ
25%
36°C
$636 ปริมาณ
36%
37°C
$584 ปริมาณ
21%
38°C
$202 ปริมาณ
4%
39°C or higher
$56 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicates Beijing highs near 32–34 °C on August 5 under typical early-August monsoon conditions of high humidity and weak steering flows that limit strong heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the 34 % implied probability for 36 °C and 26 % for 35 °C, incorporates a modest upside bias alongside this guidance, as convective activity or variable cloud cover could either suppress peaks or allow brief clearing. Key differentiating factors include local boundary-layer mixing, potential thunderstorm timing, and diurnal temperature range, all of which remain sensitive to the next model cycles. Updated forecasts and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,483วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicates Beijing highs near 32–34 °C on August 5 under typical early-August monsoon conditions of high humidity and weak steering flows that limit strong heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the 34 % implied probability for 36 °C and 26 % for 35 °C, incorporates a modest upside bias alongside this guidance, as convective activity or variable cloud cover could either suppress peaks or allow brief clearing. Key differentiating factors include local boundary-layer mixing, potential thunderstorm timing, and diurnal temperature range, all of which remain sensitive to the next model cycles. Updated forecasts and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,483วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicates Beijing highs near 32–34 °C on August 5 under typical early-August monsoon conditions of high humidity and weak steering flows that limit strong heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the 34 % implied probability for 36 °C and 26 % for 35 °C, incorporates a modest upside bias alongside this guidance, as convective activity or variable cloud cover could either suppress peaks or allow brief clearing. Key differentiating factors include local boundary-layer mixing, potential thunderstorm timing, and diurnal temperature range, all of which remain sensitive to the next model cycles. Updated forecasts and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย