Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in New York City, including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F on August 17, 2026, aligning with the market's overwhelming 98.9% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions driven by southerly flow, dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Climatological averages for mid-August place overnight lows near 68–72°F, providing strong historical precedent. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, incorporated the most recent model guidance and observational data confirming this narrow range. An unexpected shift in wind direction or clearer skies enhancing cooling could have produced a lower reading, though no such deviation materialized in verified reports.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on August 17?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 17?
70-71°F 98.9%
68-69°F 1.0%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$16,700 ปริมาณ
$16,700 ปริมาณ
Aug 17, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
99%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 98.9%
68-69°F 1.0%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$16,700 ปริมาณ
$16,700 ปริมาณ
Aug 17, 2026
61°F or below
$291 ปริมาณ
<1%
62-63°F
$379 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$1,345 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$1,805 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$1,214 ปริมาณ
1%
70-71°F
$3,247 ปริมาณ
99%
72-73°F
$4,335 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$2,467 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$710 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$616 ปริมาณ
<1%
80°F or higher
$291 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in New York City, including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F on August 17, 2026, aligning with the market's overwhelming 98.9% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions driven by southerly flow, dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Climatological averages for mid-August place overnight lows near 68–72°F, providing strong historical precedent. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, incorporated the most recent model guidance and observational data confirming this narrow range. An unexpected shift in wind direction or clearer skies enhancing cooling could have produced a lower reading, though no such deviation materialized in verified reports.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,700วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in New York City, including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F on August 17, 2026, aligning with the market's overwhelming 98.9% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions driven by southerly flow, dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Climatological averages for mid-August place overnight lows near 68–72°F, providing strong historical precedent. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, incorporated the most recent model guidance and observational data confirming this narrow range. An unexpected shift in wind direction or clearer skies enhancing cooling could have produced a lower reading, though no such deviation materialized in verified reports.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,700วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in New York City, including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F on August 17, 2026, aligning with the market's overwhelming 98.9% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions driven by southerly flow, dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Climatological averages for mid-August place overnight lows near 68–72°F, providing strong historical precedent. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, incorporated the most recent model guidance and observational data confirming this narrow range. An unexpected shift in wind direction or clearer skies enhancing cooling could have produced a lower reading, though no such deviation materialized in verified reports.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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