Recent observational data from Milan meteorological stations, including Linate and Malpensa airports, have established a daily minimum of 15°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1018-1019 hPa, aligning precisely with the market's near-100% implied probability. This outcome reflects the absence of significant nocturnal cooling or frontal activity that could have driven temperatures lower, consistent with regional climatology for late August where overnight lows typically range 18-22°C. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supported minimal deviation, with no major updates expected before final daily verification. While unlikely given completed measurements, discrepancies in station reporting or microclimate effects could theoretically prompt minor revisions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Milan on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 23?
15°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$5,037 ปริมาณ
$5,037 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
15°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$5,037 ปริมาณ
$5,037 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
13°C or below
$342 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$280 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$192 ปริมาณ
100%
16°C
$357 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$524 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$237 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$628 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$1,606 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$210 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$423 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C or higher
$239 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Milan meteorological stations, including Linate and Malpensa airports, have established a daily minimum of 15°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1018-1019 hPa, aligning precisely with the market's near-100% implied probability. This outcome reflects the absence of significant nocturnal cooling or frontal activity that could have driven temperatures lower, consistent with regional climatology for late August where overnight lows typically range 18-22°C. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supported minimal deviation, with no major updates expected before final daily verification. While unlikely given completed measurements, discrepancies in station reporting or microclimate effects could theoretically prompt minor revisions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,037วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Milan meteorological stations, including Linate and Malpensa airports, have established a daily minimum of 15°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1018-1019 hPa, aligning precisely with the market's near-100% implied probability. This outcome reflects the absence of significant nocturnal cooling or frontal activity that could have driven temperatures lower, consistent with regional climatology for late August where overnight lows typically range 18-22°C. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supported minimal deviation, with no major updates expected before final daily verification. While unlikely given completed measurements, discrepancies in station reporting or microclimate effects could theoretically prompt minor revisions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,037วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data from Milan meteorological stations, including Linate and Malpensa airports, have established a daily minimum of 15°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1018-1019 hPa, aligning precisely with the market's near-100% implied probability. This outcome reflects the absence of significant nocturnal cooling or frontal activity that could have driven temperatures lower, consistent with regional climatology for late August where overnight lows typically range 18-22°C. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supported minimal deviation, with no major updates expected before final daily verification. While unlikely given completed measurements, discrepancies in station reporting or microclimate effects could theoretically prompt minor revisions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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