Stable high pressure over northern Italy has driven a return to typical late-summer conditions, with official and model forecasts from sources such as ilMeteo and regional outlooks projecting a daytime maximum of 28–29°C in Milan on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 28°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, while the 25.5% on 29°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon heating and model spread. Recent stabilization after earlier instability has reduced downside risk, keeping lower temperatures like 27°C at only 18%. Traders are weighting the latest guidance showing peak readings near 28°C, with resolution hinging on official station measurements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on August 23?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 23?
28°C 62%
29°C or higher 28%
27°C 12%
26°C 2%
$17,476 ปริมาณ
$17,476 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
12%
28°C
62%
29°C or higher
28%
28°C 62%
29°C or higher 28%
27°C 12%
26°C 2%
$17,476 ปริมาณ
$17,476 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
$104 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$184 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$189 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$567 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$253 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,329 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$572 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$1,972 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$3,399 ปริมาณ
12%
28°C
$5,457 ปริมาณ
62%
29°C or higher
$3,450 ปริมาณ
28%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high pressure over northern Italy has driven a return to typical late-summer conditions, with official and model forecasts from sources such as ilMeteo and regional outlooks projecting a daytime maximum of 28–29°C in Milan on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 28°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, while the 25.5% on 29°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon heating and model spread. Recent stabilization after earlier instability has reduced downside risk, keeping lower temperatures like 27°C at only 18%. Traders are weighting the latest guidance showing peak readings near 28°C, with resolution hinging on official station measurements.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,476วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high pressure over northern Italy has driven a return to typical late-summer conditions, with official and model forecasts from sources such as ilMeteo and regional outlooks projecting a daytime maximum of 28–29°C in Milan on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 28°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, while the 25.5% on 29°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon heating and model spread. Recent stabilization after earlier instability has reduced downside risk, keeping lower temperatures like 27°C at only 18%. Traders are weighting the latest guidance showing peak readings near 28°C, with resolution hinging on official station measurements.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,476วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable high pressure over northern Italy has driven a return to typical late-summer conditions, with official and model forecasts from sources such as ilMeteo and regional outlooks projecting a daytime maximum of 28–29°C in Milan on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 28°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, while the 25.5% on 29°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon heating and model spread. Recent stabilization after earlier instability has reduced downside risk, keeping lower temperatures like 27°C at only 18%. Traders are weighting the latest guidance showing peak readings near 28°C, with resolution hinging on official station measurements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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