Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Met Office and 3B Meteo converge on a daytime maximum of 28–30 °C for Milan on 24 August, with 29 °C the most probable single value under stable high-pressure conditions and light easterly flow. This aligns with late-August climatology (mean high ~27 °C) while reflecting modest positive anomalies persisting after earlier heat. Model consensus and limited convective activity overnight into the 24th have anchored trader probabilities, with 29 °C at 47.5 % and the 28–30 °C band exceeding 90 % combined implied probability. Updated runs expected through the evening of the 23rd will refine the final outcome before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 24?
29°C 48%
28°C 24%
30°C 20%
27°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
24%
29°C
48%
30°C
20%
31°C or higher
4%
29°C 48%
28°C 24%
30°C 20%
27°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$347 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$351 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$358 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$357 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$308 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$379 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$722 ปริมาณ
5%
28°C
$1,545 ปริมาณ
24%
29°C
$1,696 ปริมาณ
48%
30°C
$1,176 ปริมาณ
20%
31°C or higher
$488 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Met Office and 3B Meteo converge on a daytime maximum of 28–30 °C for Milan on 24 August, with 29 °C the most probable single value under stable high-pressure conditions and light easterly flow. This aligns with late-August climatology (mean high ~27 °C) while reflecting modest positive anomalies persisting after earlier heat. Model consensus and limited convective activity overnight into the 24th have anchored trader probabilities, with 29 °C at 47.5 % and the 28–30 °C band exceeding 90 % combined implied probability. Updated runs expected through the evening of the 23rd will refine the final outcome before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,729วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Met Office and 3B Meteo converge on a daytime maximum of 28–30 °C for Milan on 24 August, with 29 °C the most probable single value under stable high-pressure conditions and light easterly flow. This aligns with late-August climatology (mean high ~27 °C) while reflecting modest positive anomalies persisting after earlier heat. Model consensus and limited convective activity overnight into the 24th have anchored trader probabilities, with 29 °C at 47.5 % and the 28–30 °C band exceeding 90 % combined implied probability. Updated runs expected through the evening of the 23rd will refine the final outcome before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,729วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Met Office and 3B Meteo converge on a daytime maximum of 28–30 °C for Milan on 24 August, with 29 °C the most probable single value under stable high-pressure conditions and light easterly flow. This aligns with late-August climatology (mean high ~27 °C) while reflecting modest positive anomalies persisting after earlier heat. Model consensus and limited convective activity overnight into the 24th have anchored trader probabilities, with 29 °C at 47.5 % and the 28–30 °C band exceeding 90 % combined implied probability. Updated runs expected through the evening of the 23rd will refine the final outcome before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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