Latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance point to clear or partly cloudy skies overnight into August 24, with light easterly winds and high pressure supporting radiative cooling after daytime maxima near 23°C. This setup favors a minimum around 13–15°C in central London, aligning with the market’s strong 51% weighting on 14°C. Recent observations show August minima trending 1–2°C below earlier warm-spell averages following the month’s peak of 37.7°C, while model runs remain tightly clustered with limited spread. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office on the morning of the 24th could refine the exact low before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on August 24?
14°C 52%
13°C 22%
15°C 14%
12°C 11%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
11%
13°C
26%
14°C
52%
15°C
18%
16°C
4%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 52%
13°C 22%
15°C 14%
12°C 11%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
11%
13°C
26%
14°C
52%
15°C
18%
16°C
4%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance point to clear or partly cloudy skies overnight into August 24, with light easterly winds and high pressure supporting radiative cooling after daytime maxima near 23°C. This setup favors a minimum around 13–15°C in central London, aligning with the market’s strong 51% weighting on 14°C. Recent observations show August minima trending 1–2°C below earlier warm-spell averages following the month’s peak of 37.7°C, while model runs remain tightly clustered with limited spread. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office on the morning of the 24th could refine the exact low before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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