Traders see nearly equal implied probabilities across the 86–89°F and 90°F-plus ranges for Houston’s lowest temperature on August 23 because high dew points near 75°F and limited radiative cooling under humid, mostly clear conditions are keeping overnight lows elevated. National Weather Service forecast models reflect this tight clustering, with urban heat-island effects in the metro area further suppressing the typical diurnal drop. Any increase in boundary-layer mixing or unexpected cloud cover could enhance cooling and favor the 84–85°F or lower bins, while continued southerly flow would support warmer outcomes. The next model cycle and official minimum readings will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Houston on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 23?
86-87°F 99%
88-89°F 99%
90°F or higher 99%
71°F or below 98%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
98%
72-73°F
65%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
99%
88-89°F
99%
90°F or higher
99%
86-87°F 99%
88-89°F 99%
90°F or higher 99%
71°F or below 98%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
$10 ปริมาณ
98%
72-73°F
$20 ปริมาณ
65%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
84-85°F
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
86-87°F
$25 ปริมาณ
99%
88-89°F
$15 ปริมาณ
99%
90°F or higher
$55 ปริมาณ
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see nearly equal implied probabilities across the 86–89°F and 90°F-plus ranges for Houston’s lowest temperature on August 23 because high dew points near 75°F and limited radiative cooling under humid, mostly clear conditions are keeping overnight lows elevated. National Weather Service forecast models reflect this tight clustering, with urban heat-island effects in the metro area further suppressing the typical diurnal drop. Any increase in boundary-layer mixing or unexpected cloud cover could enhance cooling and favor the 84–85°F or lower bins, while continued southerly flow would support warmer outcomes. The next model cycle and official minimum readings will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$125วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see nearly equal implied probabilities across the 86–89°F and 90°F-plus ranges for Houston’s lowest temperature on August 23 because high dew points near 75°F and limited radiative cooling under humid, mostly clear conditions are keeping overnight lows elevated. National Weather Service forecast models reflect this tight clustering, with urban heat-island effects in the metro area further suppressing the typical diurnal drop. Any increase in boundary-layer mixing or unexpected cloud cover could enhance cooling and favor the 84–85°F or lower bins, while continued southerly flow would support warmer outcomes. The next model cycle and official minimum readings will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$125วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see nearly equal implied probabilities across the 86–89°F and 90°F-plus ranges for Houston’s lowest temperature on August 23 because high dew points near 75°F and limited radiative cooling under humid, mostly clear conditions are keeping overnight lows elevated. National Weather Service forecast models reflect this tight clustering, with urban heat-island effects in the metro area further suppressing the typical diurnal drop. Any increase in boundary-layer mixing or unexpected cloud cover could enhance cooling and favor the 84–85°F or lower bins, while continued southerly flow would support warmer outcomes. The next model cycle and official minimum readings will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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