National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny skies and a high near 101°F in Houston on August 24 amid an active heat advisory, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around 98–101°F. Persistent upper-level ridging and southerly Gulf flow are driving strong daytime heating under mostly clear conditions, consistent with late-August climatology where daily maxima often reach the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent model runs show limited disagreement on boundary-layer moisture and minimal convective interference that could cap temperatures, though any increase in cloud cover or scattered storms remains the main variable that could shift the outcome toward the 96–97°F bin. Updated NWS briefings and morning model guidance ahead of peak heating will provide the clearest near-term signals for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on August 24?
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 29%
96-97°F 11%
102-103°F 5%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 29%
96-97°F 11%
102-103°F 5%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny skies and a high near 101°F in Houston on August 24 amid an active heat advisory, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around 98–101°F. Persistent upper-level ridging and southerly Gulf flow are driving strong daytime heating under mostly clear conditions, consistent with late-August climatology where daily maxima often reach the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent model runs show limited disagreement on boundary-layer moisture and minimal convective interference that could cap temperatures, though any increase in cloud cover or scattered storms remains the main variable that could shift the outcome toward the 96–97°F bin. Updated NWS briefings and morning model guidance ahead of peak heating will provide the clearest near-term signals for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย