**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service point to a daily minimum temperature in Dallas on August 30, 2026, in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit under clear skies, light southerly winds, and persistent high pressure.** This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling, as warm advection from the south and relatively high dew points maintain elevated overnight temperatures following daytime highs near 102–103°F. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–85°F (each in the mid-20s percent range) reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum, driven by small variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the observed low by a few degrees. Historical August climatology shows an average low near 75°F, but the current anomalously warm pattern—part of an extended late-summer heat event—has kept recent overnight lows elevated, pushing trader consensus away from sub-74°F outcomes (under 1% implied probability). Upcoming hourly observations and any last adjustments from NWS model runs will determine whether the minimum settles near 80–81°F or edges into the adjacent bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Dallas on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 30?
74-75°F 50%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 27%
84-85°F 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
50%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 50%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 27%
84-85°F 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
71°F or below
$46 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$135 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$147 ปริมาณ
50%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
78-79°F
$9 ปริมาณ
27%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
82-83°F
$16 ปริมาณ
29%
84-85°F
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
86-87°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
88-89°F
$117 ปริมาณ
4%
90°F or higher
$105 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service point to a daily minimum temperature in Dallas on August 30, 2026, in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit under clear skies, light southerly winds, and persistent high pressure.** This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling, as warm advection from the south and relatively high dew points maintain elevated overnight temperatures following daytime highs near 102–103°F.
The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–85°F (each in the mid-20s percent range) reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum, driven by small variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the observed low by a few degrees. Historical August climatology shows an average low near 75°F, but the current anomalously warm pattern—part of an extended late-summer heat event—has kept recent overnight lows elevated, pushing trader consensus away from sub-74°F outcomes (under 1% implied probability).
Upcoming hourly observations and any last adjustments from NWS model runs will determine whether the minimum settles near 80–81°F or edges into the adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$575วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service point to a daily minimum temperature in Dallas on August 30, 2026, in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit under clear skies, light southerly winds, and persistent high pressure.** This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling, as warm advection from the south and relatively high dew points maintain elevated overnight temperatures following daytime highs near 102–103°F.
The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–85°F (each in the mid-20s percent range) reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum, driven by small variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the observed low by a few degrees. Historical August climatology shows an average low near 75°F, but the current anomalously warm pattern—part of an extended late-summer heat event—has kept recent overnight lows elevated, pushing trader consensus away from sub-74°F outcomes (under 1% implied probability).
Upcoming hourly observations and any last adjustments from NWS model runs will determine whether the minimum settles near 80–81°F or edges into the adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$575วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service point to a daily minimum temperature in Dallas on August 30, 2026, in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit under clear skies, light southerly winds, and persistent high pressure.** This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling, as warm advection from the south and relatively high dew points maintain elevated overnight temperatures following daytime highs near 102–103°F. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–85°F (each in the mid-20s percent range) reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum, driven by small variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the observed low by a few degrees. Historical August climatology shows an average low near 75°F, but the current anomalously warm pattern—part of an extended late-summer heat event—has kept recent overnight lows elevated, pushing trader consensus away from sub-74°F outcomes (under 1% implied probability). Upcoming hourly observations and any last adjustments from NWS model runs will determine whether the minimum settles near 80–81°F or edges into the adjacent bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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