Trader consensus has locked onto 25°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on August 23 because official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-range model runs show the overnight minimum stabilizing at that level after 3–6 a.m. local time, with hourly readings holding near 24–25°C before daytime heating. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where marine influence and residual heat from a persistent warm air mass prevent deeper nocturnal cooling. The market-implied odds reflect high-confidence verification data rather than forecast uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-night drop below 24°C driven by stronger onshore flow or model error in boundary-layer mixing, though current observational trends make such a revision unlikely before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Busan on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 23?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$4,315 ปริมาณ
$4,315 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$4,315 ปริมาณ
$4,315 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
$230 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$184 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$632 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$449 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$260 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,073 ปริมาณ
Yes
26°C
$452 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$369 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$317 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$165 ปริมาณ
No
30°C or higher
$184 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked onto 25°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on August 23 because official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-range model runs show the overnight minimum stabilizing at that level after 3–6 a.m. local time, with hourly readings holding near 24–25°C before daytime heating. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where marine influence and residual heat from a persistent warm air mass prevent deeper nocturnal cooling. The market-implied odds reflect high-confidence verification data rather than forecast uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-night drop below 24°C driven by stronger onshore flow or model error in boundary-layer mixing, though current observational trends make such a revision unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,315วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked onto 25°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on August 23 because official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-range model runs show the overnight minimum stabilizing at that level after 3–6 a.m. local time, with hourly readings holding near 24–25°C before daytime heating. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where marine influence and residual heat from a persistent warm air mass prevent deeper nocturnal cooling. The market-implied odds reflect high-confidence verification data rather than forecast uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-night drop below 24°C driven by stronger onshore flow or model error in boundary-layer mixing, though current observational trends make such a revision unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,315วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus has locked onto 25°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on August 23 because official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-range model runs show the overnight minimum stabilizing at that level after 3–6 a.m. local time, with hourly readings holding near 24–25°C before daytime heating. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where marine influence and residual heat from a persistent warm air mass prevent deeper nocturnal cooling. The market-implied odds reflect high-confidence verification data rather than forecast uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-night drop below 24°C driven by stronger onshore flow or model error in boundary-layer mixing, though current observational trends make such a revision unlikely before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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