Recent strong U.S. jobs data and elevated inflation readings tied to oil price volatility have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.77–4.79% in early September 2026, driving trader focus on potential near-term Fed tightening under Chair Warsh. Persistent fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury supply are widening the term premium, while resilient labor markets and anchored but above-target inflation expectations support higher neutral-rate pricing. Key upcoming catalysts include September CPI and FOMC decisions, with any durable easing in geopolitical tensions likely to moderate yields while sustained supply pressures and growth resilience could push peaks higher before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$296,999 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
4.8%
91%
5.0%
30%
5.2%
10%
5.5%
9%
5.7%
5%
6.0%
5%
$296,999 ปริมาณ
4.8%
$63,609 ปริมาณ
91%
5.0%
$85,970 ปริมาณ
30%
5.2%
$27,041 ปริมาณ
10%
5.5%
$6,164 ปริมาณ
9%
5.7%
$4,299 ปริมาณ
5%
6.0%
$3,630 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent strong U.S. jobs data and elevated inflation readings tied to oil price volatility have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.77–4.79% in early September 2026, driving trader focus on potential near-term Fed tightening under Chair Warsh. Persistent fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury supply are widening the term premium, while resilient labor markets and anchored but above-target inflation expectations support higher neutral-rate pricing. Key upcoming catalysts include September CPI and FOMC decisions, with any durable easing in geopolitical tensions likely to moderate yields while sustained supply pressures and growth resilience could push peaks higher before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$296,999วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent strong U.S. jobs data and elevated inflation readings tied to oil price volatility have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.77–4.79% in early September 2026, driving trader focus on potential near-term Fed tightening under Chair Warsh. Persistent fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury supply are widening the term premium, while resilient labor markets and anchored but above-target inflation expectations support higher neutral-rate pricing. Key upcoming catalysts include September CPI and FOMC decisions, with any durable easing in geopolitical tensions likely to moderate yields while sustained supply pressures and growth resilience could push peaks higher before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$296,999วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent strong U.S. jobs data and elevated inflation readings tied to oil price volatility have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.77–4.79% in early September 2026, driving trader focus on potential near-term Fed tightening under Chair Warsh. Persistent fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury supply are widening the term premium, while resilient labor markets and anchored but above-target inflation expectations support higher neutral-rate pricing. Key upcoming catalysts include September CPI and FOMC decisions, with any durable easing in geopolitical tensions likely to moderate yields while sustained supply pressures and growth resilience could push peaks higher before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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