Traders see a 93.5% implied probability against Jerome Powell joining an AI company in 2026 because the former Fed chair has explicitly committed to remaining on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors through at least early 2028 to complete his term and address ongoing matters, while maintaining a low public profile. Powell, whose background centers on monetary policy, law, and finance rather than large language models or machine learning infrastructure, has shown no signals of pursuing private-sector roles in artificial intelligence despite public comments acknowledging AI's productivity effects. Recent Fed discussions on AI's economic impact further underscore his institutional focus. A shift would require an abrupt reversal of these plans, such as an unexpected early exit for an advisory position, though his age and expertise alignment make that scenario improbable in the current environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว7% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
7% โอกาส
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ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders see a 93.5% implied probability against Jerome Powell joining an AI company in 2026 because the former Fed chair has explicitly committed to remaining on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors through at least early 2028 to complete his term and address ongoing matters, while maintaining a low public profile. Powell, whose background centers on monetary policy, law, and finance rather than large language models or machine learning infrastructure, has shown no signals of pursuing private-sector roles in artificial intelligence despite public comments acknowledging AI's productivity effects. Recent Fed discussions on AI's economic impact further underscore his institutional focus. A shift would require an abrupt reversal of these plans, such as an unexpected early exit for an advisory position, though his age and expertise alignment make that scenario improbable in the current environment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$444วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders see a 93.5% implied probability against Jerome Powell joining an AI company in 2026 because the former Fed chair has explicitly committed to remaining on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors through at least early 2028 to complete his term and address ongoing matters, while maintaining a low public profile. Powell, whose background centers on monetary policy, law, and finance rather than large language models or machine learning infrastructure, has shown no signals of pursuing private-sector roles in artificial intelligence despite public comments acknowledging AI's productivity effects. Recent Fed discussions on AI's economic impact further underscore his institutional focus. A shift would require an abrupt reversal of these plans, such as an unexpected early exit for an advisory position, though his age and expertise alignment make that scenario improbable in the current environment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$444วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Traders see a 93.5% implied probability against Jerome Powell joining an AI company in 2026 because the former Fed chair has explicitly committed to remaining on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors through at least early 2028 to complete his term and address ongoing matters, while maintaining a low public profile. Powell, whose background centers on monetary policy, law, and finance rather than large language models or machine learning infrastructure, has shown no signals of pursuing private-sector roles in artificial intelligence despite public comments acknowledging AI's productivity effects. Recent Fed discussions on AI's economic impact further underscore his institutional focus. A shift would require an abrupt reversal of these plans, such as an unexpected early exit for an advisory position, though his age and expertise alignment make that scenario improbable in the current environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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