Anthropic's recent launch of open-source Claude Commerce Agents, including deployable shopping and merchant blueprints for retail, travel, and related sectors, stands as the key driver behind its dominant 84.5% market-implied probability. The Sept. 2-3 release provides practical scaffolding for production agents with measurable results like higher cart sizes, alongside strong updates to models such as Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 that enhance long-horizon reasoning and tool use. OpenAI trails at 14.6% amid its earlier ChatGPT Work and Codex expansions, though recent safety incidents and competitive positioning have tempered sentiment. Traders appear to view Anthropic's timely enterprise-focused releases and agent harness improvements as the clearest edge heading into late September benchmarks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 85%
OpenAI 14.5%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
$181,743 ปริมาณ
$181,743 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
85%
OpenAI
14%
1%
Z.ai
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Anthropic 85%
OpenAI 14.5%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
$181,743 ปริมาณ
$181,743 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
$48,597 ปริมาณ
85%
OpenAI
$25,785 ปริมาณ
14%
$7,419 ปริมาณ
1%
Z.ai
$7,096 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$7,022 ปริมาณ
<1%
Alibaba
$7,087 ปริมาณ
<1%
Moonshot
$7,544 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$6,935 ปริมาณ
<1%
SpaceXAI
$7,505 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meta
$7,333 ปริมาณ
<1%
DeepSeek
$6,966 ปริมาณ
<1%
MiniMax
$7,029 ปริมาณ
<1%
Nvidia
$7,098 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$6,903 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$7,020 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$6,884 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$6,980 ปริมาณ
<1%
Xiaomi
$539 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's recent launch of open-source Claude Commerce Agents, including deployable shopping and merchant blueprints for retail, travel, and related sectors, stands as the key driver behind its dominant 84.5% market-implied probability. The Sept. 2-3 release provides practical scaffolding for production agents with measurable results like higher cart sizes, alongside strong updates to models such as Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 that enhance long-horizon reasoning and tool use. OpenAI trails at 14.6% amid its earlier ChatGPT Work and Codex expansions, though recent safety incidents and competitive positioning have tempered sentiment. Traders appear to view Anthropic's timely enterprise-focused releases and agent harness improvements as the clearest edge heading into late September benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$181,743วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's recent launch of open-source Claude Commerce Agents, including deployable shopping and merchant blueprints for retail, travel, and related sectors, stands as the key driver behind its dominant 84.5% market-implied probability. The Sept. 2-3 release provides practical scaffolding for production agents with measurable results like higher cart sizes, alongside strong updates to models such as Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 that enhance long-horizon reasoning and tool use. OpenAI trails at 14.6% amid its earlier ChatGPT Work and Codex expansions, though recent safety incidents and competitive positioning have tempered sentiment. Traders appear to view Anthropic's timely enterprise-focused releases and agent harness improvements as the clearest edge heading into late September benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$181,743วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's recent launch of open-source Claude Commerce Agents, including deployable shopping and merchant blueprints for retail, travel, and related sectors, stands as the key driver behind its dominant 84.5% market-implied probability. The Sept. 2-3 release provides practical scaffolding for production agents with measurable results like higher cart sizes, alongside strong updates to models such as Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 that enhance long-horizon reasoning and tool use. OpenAI trails at 14.6% amid its earlier ChatGPT Work and Codex expansions, though recent safety incidents and competitive positioning have tempered sentiment. Traders appear to view Anthropic's timely enterprise-focused releases and agent harness improvements as the clearest edge heading into late September benchmarks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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