Anthropic holds a narrow edge in the closely contested race for the top AI model by end of September, with recent releases like Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 posting leading scores on benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra rollout has tightened the gap through strong efficiency and multimodal gains, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 50% for several frontrunners. Traders weigh factors such as context-window scale, output quality consistency, and enterprise safeguards against the risk of rapid follow-on updates from Google, Meta, or others before month-end. The market consensus reflects real capital at risk amid ongoing model iterations rather than any locked-in outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 56%
OpenAI 27.9%
Meta 2.3%
Google 1.3%
$76,911 ปริมาณ
$76,911 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
56%
OpenAI
28%
Meta
2%
1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 56%
OpenAI 27.9%
Meta 2.3%
Google 1.3%
$76,911 ปริมาณ
$76,911 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
$33,867 ปริมาณ
56%
OpenAI
$6,050 ปริมาณ
28%
Meta
$7,381 ปริมาณ
2%
$5,109 ปริมาณ
1%
Alibaba
$3,314 ปริมาณ
<1%
Moonshot
$2,773 ปริมาณ
<1%
Z.ai
$2,323 ปริมาณ
<1%
SpaceXAI
$1,842 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$769 ปริมาณ
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,250 ปริมาณ
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,431 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$436 ปริมาณ
<1%
MiniMax
$436 ปริมาณ
<1%
Thinky
$1,313 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$930 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$1,554 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$436 ปริมาณ
<1%
Nvidia
$920 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tencent
$2,658 ปริมาณ
<1%
StepFun
$1,360 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$762 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a narrow edge in the closely contested race for the top AI model by end of September, with recent releases like Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 posting leading scores on benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra rollout has tightened the gap through strong efficiency and multimodal gains, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 50% for several frontrunners. Traders weigh factors such as context-window scale, output quality consistency, and enterprise safeguards against the risk of rapid follow-on updates from Google, Meta, or others before month-end. The market consensus reflects real capital at risk amid ongoing model iterations rather than any locked-in outcome.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$76,911วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overallผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a narrow edge in the closely contested race for the top AI model by end of September, with recent releases like Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 posting leading scores on benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra rollout has tightened the gap through strong efficiency and multimodal gains, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 50% for several frontrunners. Traders weigh factors such as context-window scale, output quality consistency, and enterprise safeguards against the risk of rapid follow-on updates from Google, Meta, or others before month-end. The market consensus reflects real capital at risk amid ongoing model iterations rather than any locked-in outcome.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$76,911วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overallผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a narrow edge in the closely contested race for the top AI model by end of September, with recent releases like Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 posting leading scores on benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra rollout has tightened the gap through strong efficiency and multimodal gains, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 50% for several frontrunners. Traders weigh factors such as context-window scale, output quality consistency, and enterprise safeguards against the risk of rapid follow-on updates from Google, Meta, or others before month-end. The market consensus reflects real capital at risk amid ongoing model iterations rather than any locked-in outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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