Anthropic holds an overwhelming 78% market-implied probability for the top Text Arena math model by end of September, driven by its Claude family consistently leading the crowdsourced math category leaderboard with models such as Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants posting the highest Elo ratings around 1529. Recent benchmark snapshots show these models outperforming competitors on proof-based and quantitative tasks, reflecting strong trader consensus around Anthropic’s edge in reasoning depth and arena voter preference. OpenAI trails at 18.5% despite GPT-5 series strength on some AIME and FrontierMath metrics, while Google and others sit below 2% amid lower arena visibility. With resolution days away, any late model updates or arena vote shifts could still influence final positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 78%
OpenAI 19%
Google 1.7%
SpaceXAI <1%
$56,547 ปริมาณ
$56,547 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
78%
OpenAI
19%
2%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meta
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 78%
OpenAI 19%
Google 1.7%
SpaceXAI <1%
$56,547 ปริมาณ
$56,547 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
$15,993 ปริมาณ
78%
OpenAI
$18,777 ปริมาณ
19%
$8,002 ปริมาณ
2%
SpaceXAI
$527 ปริมาณ
<1%
Alibaba
$1,333 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$642 ปริมาณ
<1%
Z.ai
$3,433 ปริมาณ
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,234 ปริมาณ
<1%
Moonshot
$1,067 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meta
$469 ปริมาณ
<1%
Nvidia
$499 ปริมาณ
<1%
DeepSeek
$565 ปริมาณ
<1%
MiniMax
$458 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$466 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$450 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$449 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$459 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tencent
$609 ปริมาณ
<1%
StepFun
$518 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$599 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds an overwhelming 78% market-implied probability for the top Text Arena math model by end of September, driven by its Claude family consistently leading the crowdsourced math category leaderboard with models such as Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants posting the highest Elo ratings around 1529. Recent benchmark snapshots show these models outperforming competitors on proof-based and quantitative tasks, reflecting strong trader consensus around Anthropic’s edge in reasoning depth and arena voter preference. OpenAI trails at 18.5% despite GPT-5 series strength on some AIME and FrontierMath metrics, while Google and others sit below 2% amid lower arena visibility. With resolution days away, any late model updates or arena vote shifts could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,547วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds an overwhelming 78% market-implied probability for the top Text Arena math model by end of September, driven by its Claude family consistently leading the crowdsourced math category leaderboard with models such as Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants posting the highest Elo ratings around 1529. Recent benchmark snapshots show these models outperforming competitors on proof-based and quantitative tasks, reflecting strong trader consensus around Anthropic’s edge in reasoning depth and arena voter preference. OpenAI trails at 18.5% despite GPT-5 series strength on some AIME and FrontierMath metrics, while Google and others sit below 2% amid lower arena visibility. With resolution days away, any late model updates or arena vote shifts could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,547วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds an overwhelming 78% market-implied probability for the top Text Arena math model by end of September, driven by its Claude family consistently leading the crowdsourced math category leaderboard with models such as Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants posting the highest Elo ratings around 1529. Recent benchmark snapshots show these models outperforming competitors on proof-based and quantitative tasks, reflecting strong trader consensus around Anthropic’s edge in reasoning depth and arena voter preference. OpenAI trails at 18.5% despite GPT-5 series strength on some AIME and FrontierMath metrics, while Google and others sit below 2% amid lower arena visibility. With resolution days away, any late model updates or arena vote shifts could still influence final positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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