Cool southerly airflow and polar air intrusions are holding Wellington’s daytime maxima near 10–11 °C for August 19, aligning with MetService guidance that underpins the market’s 63.5% implied probability on 11 °C. Persistent showery southwesterlies limit solar heating and maintain a cooler marine air mass than the August climatological average of roughly 12 °C. Recent analogous days have resolved at 10–11 °C, while NIWA’s seasonal outlook places temperatures most likely near average with equal chances of below-normal rainfall. Model consensus shows limited warming potential ahead of the next frontal passage; a shift toward 12 °C would require clearer skies or delayed shower timing, with official observations at Kelburn and the airport determining resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 19?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 19?
11°C 64%
10°C 26%
12°C 11%
9°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
26%
11°C
64%
12°C
11%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 64%
10°C 26%
12°C 11%
9°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
5°C or below
$201 ปริมาณ
<1%
6°C
$186 ปริมาณ
<1%
7°C
$296 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$167 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$594 ปริมาณ
3%
10°C
$2,327 ปริมาณ
26%
11°C
$2,536 ปริมาณ
64%
12°C
$1,720 ปริมาณ
11%
13°C
$659 ปริมาณ
2%
14°C
$167 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C or higher
$362 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cool southerly airflow and polar air intrusions are holding Wellington’s daytime maxima near 10–11 °C for August 19, aligning with MetService guidance that underpins the market’s 63.5% implied probability on 11 °C. Persistent showery southwesterlies limit solar heating and maintain a cooler marine air mass than the August climatological average of roughly 12 °C. Recent analogous days have resolved at 10–11 °C, while NIWA’s seasonal outlook places temperatures most likely near average with equal chances of below-normal rainfall. Model consensus shows limited warming potential ahead of the next frontal passage; a shift toward 12 °C would require clearer skies or delayed shower timing, with official observations at Kelburn and the airport determining resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,215วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cool southerly airflow and polar air intrusions are holding Wellington’s daytime maxima near 10–11 °C for August 19, aligning with MetService guidance that underpins the market’s 63.5% implied probability on 11 °C. Persistent showery southwesterlies limit solar heating and maintain a cooler marine air mass than the August climatological average of roughly 12 °C. Recent analogous days have resolved at 10–11 °C, while NIWA’s seasonal outlook places temperatures most likely near average with equal chances of below-normal rainfall. Model consensus shows limited warming potential ahead of the next frontal passage; a shift toward 12 °C would require clearer skies or delayed shower timing, with official observations at Kelburn and the airport determining resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,215วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cool southerly airflow and polar air intrusions are holding Wellington’s daytime maxima near 10–11 °C for August 19, aligning with MetService guidance that underpins the market’s 63.5% implied probability on 11 °C. Persistent showery southwesterlies limit solar heating and maintain a cooler marine air mass than the August climatological average of roughly 12 °C. Recent analogous days have resolved at 10–11 °C, while NIWA’s seasonal outlook places temperatures most likely near average with equal chances of below-normal rainfall. Model consensus shows limited warming potential ahead of the next frontal passage; a shift toward 12 °C would require clearer skies or delayed shower timing, with official observations at Kelburn and the airport determining resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย