Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on daytime maxima of 31–33°C for coastal Qingdao on August 18, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity. Cloudy conditions and moderate southerly flow are limiting surface heating while preventing rapid cooling, positioning 33°C as the market favorite at 50.5% implied probability. These outcomes reflect trader consensus on verified observational data and model agreement rather than extremes, with 32°C and 34°C as secondary possibilities if afternoon mixing or cloud cover shifts slightly before peak heating. Updated guidance later today could refine the final recorded high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 18?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 18?
33°C 50%
32°C 26%
34°C 18%
31°C 8%
ใหม่
$11,529 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,529 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
26%
33°C
51%
34°C
18%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 50%
32°C 26%
34°C 18%
31°C 8%
ใหม่
$11,529 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,529 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
$277 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$182 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$821 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$604 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$1,335 ปริมาณ
8%
32°C
$898 ปริมาณ
26%
33°C
$2,925 ปริมาณ
51%
34°C
$1,593 ปริมาณ
18%
35°C
$874 ปริมาณ
4%
36°C
$1,441 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C or higher
$580 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on daytime maxima of 31–33°C for coastal Qingdao on August 18, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity. Cloudy conditions and moderate southerly flow are limiting surface heating while preventing rapid cooling, positioning 33°C as the market favorite at 50.5% implied probability. These outcomes reflect trader consensus on verified observational data and model agreement rather than extremes, with 32°C and 34°C as secondary possibilities if afternoon mixing or cloud cover shifts slightly before peak heating. Updated guidance later today could refine the final recorded high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,529วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on daytime maxima of 31–33°C for coastal Qingdao on August 18, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity. Cloudy conditions and moderate southerly flow are limiting surface heating while preventing rapid cooling, positioning 33°C as the market favorite at 50.5% implied probability. These outcomes reflect trader consensus on verified observational data and model agreement rather than extremes, with 32°C and 34°C as secondary possibilities if afternoon mixing or cloud cover shifts slightly before peak heating. Updated guidance later today could refine the final recorded high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,529วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on daytime maxima of 31–33°C for coastal Qingdao on August 18, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 29–31°C amid high humidity. Cloudy conditions and moderate southerly flow are limiting surface heating while preventing rapid cooling, positioning 33°C as the market favorite at 50.5% implied probability. These outcomes reflect trader consensus on verified observational data and model agreement rather than extremes, with 32°C and 34°C as secondary possibilities if afternoon mixing or cloud cover shifts slightly before peak heating. Updated guidance later today could refine the final recorded high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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