Current forecasts from meteorological services indicate a daily maximum near 25–26°C in Mexico City on August 18, driven by typical mid-August subtropical highland conditions featuring afternoon cloud cover, convective showers, and limited solar heating. Recent observations, including a 27°C high on August 16, show modest warming during clearer intervals, yet climatological averages of 24–25°C and ongoing moisture from the monsoon pattern constrain further increases. Model consensus emphasizes these factors over extreme outliers, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 25–26°C outcomes based on the balance of observational data and short-term guidance. Updated forecasts closer to resolution could refine these probabilities if steering patterns or rainfall timing shift.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 18?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 18?
26°C 41%
25°C 30%
27°C 13%
24°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
30%
26°C
41%
27°C
13%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 41%
25°C 30%
27°C 13%
24°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
$35 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$71 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$278 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$394 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C
$570 ปริมาณ
7%
25°C
$551 ปริมาณ
30%
26°C
$1,191 ปริมาณ
41%
27°C
$333 ปริมาณ
13%
28°C
$69 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$167 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C or higher
$252 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological services indicate a daily maximum near 25–26°C in Mexico City on August 18, driven by typical mid-August subtropical highland conditions featuring afternoon cloud cover, convective showers, and limited solar heating. Recent observations, including a 27°C high on August 16, show modest warming during clearer intervals, yet climatological averages of 24–25°C and ongoing moisture from the monsoon pattern constrain further increases. Model consensus emphasizes these factors over extreme outliers, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 25–26°C outcomes based on the balance of observational data and short-term guidance. Updated forecasts closer to resolution could refine these probabilities if steering patterns or rainfall timing shift.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,882วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological services indicate a daily maximum near 25–26°C in Mexico City on August 18, driven by typical mid-August subtropical highland conditions featuring afternoon cloud cover, convective showers, and limited solar heating. Recent observations, including a 27°C high on August 16, show modest warming during clearer intervals, yet climatological averages of 24–25°C and ongoing moisture from the monsoon pattern constrain further increases. Model consensus emphasizes these factors over extreme outliers, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 25–26°C outcomes based on the balance of observational data and short-term guidance. Updated forecasts closer to resolution could refine these probabilities if steering patterns or rainfall timing shift.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,882วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological services indicate a daily maximum near 25–26°C in Mexico City on August 18, driven by typical mid-August subtropical highland conditions featuring afternoon cloud cover, convective showers, and limited solar heating. Recent observations, including a 27°C high on August 16, show modest warming during clearer intervals, yet climatological averages of 24–25°C and ongoing moisture from the monsoon pattern constrain further increases. Model consensus emphasizes these factors over extreme outliers, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 25–26°C outcomes based on the balance of observational data and short-term guidance. Updated forecasts closer to resolution could refine these probabilities if steering patterns or rainfall timing shift.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย