Mid-August monsoon conditions in coastal Karachi, including persistent moisture, cloud cover, and sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, continue to moderate daytime heating and position 32°C as the leading outcome at 70% implied probability. Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and global model runs show ongoing humid, partly cloudy patterns with possible light showers that suppress maximum temperatures below seasonal peaks, aligning with historical August averages of 30–32°C. Recent observations indicate no major departures from this baseline, though clearer skies could allow modest warming toward 33°C (12.5%). The low probabilities on extremes reflect limited variability in short-range forecasts, with resolution depending on official maximum readings for the city. Traders are monitoring the latest model updates as the day progresses.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on August 18?
32°C 70%
31°C 18%
33°C 12%
30°C 1.9%
$12,633 ปริมาณ
$12,633 ปริมาณ
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
18%
32°C
70%
33°C
12%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 70%
31°C 18%
33°C 12%
30°C 1.9%
$12,633 ปริมาณ
$12,633 ปริมาณ
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
18%
32°C
70%
33°C
12%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mid-August monsoon conditions in coastal Karachi, including persistent moisture, cloud cover, and sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, continue to moderate daytime heating and position 32°C as the leading outcome at 70% implied probability. Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and global model runs show ongoing humid, partly cloudy patterns with possible light showers that suppress maximum temperatures below seasonal peaks, aligning with historical August averages of 30–32°C. Recent observations indicate no major departures from this baseline, though clearer skies could allow modest warming toward 33°C (12.5%). The low probabilities on extremes reflect limited variability in short-range forecasts, with resolution depending on official maximum readings for the city. Traders are monitoring the latest model updates as the day progresses.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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