Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely daily maximum of 31–32°C for Hong Kong on September 15, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied probabilities. Easterly winds, moderate humidity around 65–75%, and variable cloud cover will primarily determine peak values, with clearer periods allowing stronger solar heating while scattered showers could cap temperatures near 30°C. September climatology shows average highs near 31°C, providing context for the tight spread between outcomes; updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify any shifts from current guidance on insolation and boundary-layer mixing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 15?
32°C 38%
31°C 35%
30°C 20%
35°C or higher 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
20%
31°C
27%
32°C
38%
33°C
10%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
17%
32°C 38%
31°C 35%
30°C 20%
35°C or higher 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
25°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$6 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$6 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$3 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$10 ปริมาณ
6%
30°C
$10 ปริมาณ
20%
31°C
$19 ปริมาณ
27%
32°C
$36 ปริมาณ
38%
33°C
$86 ปริมาณ
10%
34°C
$49 ปริมาณ
4%
35°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely daily maximum of 31–32°C for Hong Kong on September 15, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied probabilities. Easterly winds, moderate humidity around 65–75%, and variable cloud cover will primarily determine peak values, with clearer periods allowing stronger solar heating while scattered showers could cap temperatures near 30°C. September climatology shows average highs near 31°C, providing context for the tight spread between outcomes; updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify any shifts from current guidance on insolation and boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$245วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely daily maximum of 31–32°C for Hong Kong on September 15, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied probabilities. Easterly winds, moderate humidity around 65–75%, and variable cloud cover will primarily determine peak values, with clearer periods allowing stronger solar heating while scattered showers could cap temperatures near 30°C. September climatology shows average highs near 31°C, providing context for the tight spread between outcomes; updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify any shifts from current guidance on insolation and boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$245วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely daily maximum of 31–32°C for Hong Kong on September 15, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied probabilities. Easterly winds, moderate humidity around 65–75%, and variable cloud cover will primarily determine peak values, with clearer periods allowing stronger solar heating while scattered showers could cap temperatures near 30°C. September climatology shows average highs near 31°C, providing context for the tight spread between outcomes; updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify any shifts from current guidance on insolation and boundary-layer mixing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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