**The near-certain market-implied odds on 32°C reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s finalized observation of that exact maximum temperature on September 11, 2026.** Post-event resolution data from the official daily extract established the peak reading at the Hong Kong Observatory station, consistent with regional conditions under a northeast monsoon flow that limited cloud cover and supported daytime heating near seasonal September norms of around 30–31°C. Traders priced in virtually no uncertainty once the authoritative measurement was confirmed, as Polymarket contracts resolve strictly to the Observatory’s recorded absolute daily maximum. Only an unforeseen data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter the outcome at this stage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
32°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$113,339 ปริมาณ
$113,339 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$113,339 ปริมาณ
$113,339 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
$265 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$228 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$19,467 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$11,271 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$12,940 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$20,940 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$16,005 ปริมาณ
100%
33°C
$28,058 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$3,661 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$274 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$230 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The near-certain market-implied odds on 32°C reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s finalized observation of that exact maximum temperature on September 11, 2026.**
Post-event resolution data from the official daily extract established the peak reading at the Hong Kong Observatory station, consistent with regional conditions under a northeast monsoon flow that limited cloud cover and supported daytime heating near seasonal September norms of around 30–31°C. Traders priced in virtually no uncertainty once the authoritative measurement was confirmed, as Polymarket contracts resolve strictly to the Observatory’s recorded absolute daily maximum. Only an unforeseen data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$113,339วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The near-certain market-implied odds on 32°C reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s finalized observation of that exact maximum temperature on September 11, 2026.**
Post-event resolution data from the official daily extract established the peak reading at the Hong Kong Observatory station, consistent with regional conditions under a northeast monsoon flow that limited cloud cover and supported daytime heating near seasonal September norms of around 30–31°C. Traders priced in virtually no uncertainty once the authoritative measurement was confirmed, as Polymarket contracts resolve strictly to the Observatory’s recorded absolute daily maximum. Only an unforeseen data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$113,339วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**The near-certain market-implied odds on 32°C reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s finalized observation of that exact maximum temperature on September 11, 2026.** Post-event resolution data from the official daily extract established the peak reading at the Hong Kong Observatory station, consistent with regional conditions under a northeast monsoon flow that limited cloud cover and supported daytime heating near seasonal September norms of around 30–31°C. Traders priced in virtually no uncertainty once the authoritative measurement was confirmed, as Polymarket contracts resolve strictly to the Observatory’s recorded absolute daily maximum. Only an unforeseen data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter the outcome at this stage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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