Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to peak heating under strong high pressure, with mostly sunny skies, low humidity, and light southerly flow supporting afternoon highs near 104–106°F in Dallas on August 18. Official guidance highlights an extreme heat warning through the day, with surface observations and guidance runs showing limited cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Historical August climatology for the region places typical maxima around 95–100°F, so the current pattern represents above-normal ridging that has sustained multiple consecutive triple-digit days. Traders have priced the narrow 104–107°F window at over 80% combined implied probability, reflecting tight uncertainty in the final observed maximum at official stations before any late-day cooling or measurement variance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Dallas on August 18?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 18?
104-105°F 51%
106-107°F 30%
102-103°F 13%
108-109°F 4%
ใหม่
$13,679 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,679 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
97°F or below
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
13%
104-105°F
51%
106-107°F
30%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 51%
106-107°F 30%
102-103°F 13%
108-109°F 4%
ใหม่
$13,679 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,679 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
97°F or below
$250 ปริมาณ
<1%
98-99°F
$258 ปริมาณ
<1%
100-101°F
$1,318 ปริมาณ
3%
102-103°F
$4,821 ปริมาณ
13%
104-105°F
$3,000 ปริมาณ
51%
106-107°F
$1,754 ปริมาณ
30%
108-109°F
$1,208 ปริมาณ
4%
110-111°F
$362 ปริมาณ
2%
112-113°F
$227 ปริมาณ
<1%
114-115°F
$281 ปริมาณ
<1%
116°F or higher
$210 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to peak heating under strong high pressure, with mostly sunny skies, low humidity, and light southerly flow supporting afternoon highs near 104–106°F in Dallas on August 18. Official guidance highlights an extreme heat warning through the day, with surface observations and guidance runs showing limited cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Historical August climatology for the region places typical maxima around 95–100°F, so the current pattern represents above-normal ridging that has sustained multiple consecutive triple-digit days. Traders have priced the narrow 104–107°F window at over 80% combined implied probability, reflecting tight uncertainty in the final observed maximum at official stations before any late-day cooling or measurement variance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,679วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to peak heating under strong high pressure, with mostly sunny skies, low humidity, and light southerly flow supporting afternoon highs near 104–106°F in Dallas on August 18. Official guidance highlights an extreme heat warning through the day, with surface observations and guidance runs showing limited cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Historical August climatology for the region places typical maxima around 95–100°F, so the current pattern represents above-normal ridging that has sustained multiple consecutive triple-digit days. Traders have priced the narrow 104–107°F window at over 80% combined implied probability, reflecting tight uncertainty in the final observed maximum at official stations before any late-day cooling or measurement variance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,679วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to peak heating under strong high pressure, with mostly sunny skies, low humidity, and light southerly flow supporting afternoon highs near 104–106°F in Dallas on August 18. Official guidance highlights an extreme heat warning through the day, with surface observations and guidance runs showing limited cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Historical August climatology for the region places typical maxima around 95–100°F, so the current pattern represents above-normal ridging that has sustained multiple consecutive triple-digit days. Traders have priced the narrow 104–107°F window at over 80% combined implied probability, reflecting tight uncertainty in the final observed maximum at official stations before any late-day cooling or measurement variance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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