Current forecasts from multiple models converge on a maximum of 18–19°C for Cape Town on August 24 under clear to mostly sunny skies, moderate southerly winds, and a stable high-pressure system typical of Southern Hemisphere winter. These conditions limit warm-air advection and keep daytime heating modest, aligning with the market's emphasis on 19°C (44.5%) and 18°C (26.5%) as leading outcomes. A 20°C reading carries secondary support (18%) if models shift slightly warmer, while cooler results remain low-probability given the absence of strong frontal activity or cloud cover. Updated runs from regional services such as SAWS and international guidance continue to reinforce this narrow band ahead of the observation window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
19°C 44%
18°C 27%
20°C 16%
17°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
7%
18°C
27%
19°C
44%
20°C
16%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 44%
18°C 27%
20°C 16%
17°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
7%
18°C
27%
19°C
44%
20°C
16%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models converge on a maximum of 18–19°C for Cape Town on August 24 under clear to mostly sunny skies, moderate southerly winds, and a stable high-pressure system typical of Southern Hemisphere winter. These conditions limit warm-air advection and keep daytime heating modest, aligning with the market's emphasis on 19°C (44.5%) and 18°C (26.5%) as leading outcomes. A 20°C reading carries secondary support (18%) if models shift slightly warmer, while cooler results remain low-probability given the absence of strong frontal activity or cloud cover. Updated runs from regional services such as SAWS and international guidance continue to reinforce this narrow band ahead of the observation window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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