Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions the daily maximum near 18–19 °C for Cape Town on 23 August 2026, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and moderate southerly winds that limit daytime warming. Model guidance shows afternoon peaks of 17–18 °C at Cape Town International Airport, with some runs reaching 19–20 °C under slightly stronger insolation, while overnight lows near 11–12 °C confirm the winter baseline. These conditions align with historical August averages of 16–18 °C and explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official agency briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 23?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 23?
19°C 42%
18°C 34%
20°C 18%
17°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
34%
19°C
42%
20°C
18%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 42%
18°C 34%
20°C 18%
17°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
13°C or below
$250 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$94 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$144 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$532 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$517 ปริมาณ
8%
18°C
$720 ปริมาณ
34%
19°C
$1,379 ปริมาณ
42%
20°C
$827 ปริมาณ
18%
21°C
$1,208 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$1,247 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C or higher
$156 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions the daily maximum near 18–19 °C for Cape Town on 23 August 2026, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and moderate southerly winds that limit daytime warming. Model guidance shows afternoon peaks of 17–18 °C at Cape Town International Airport, with some runs reaching 19–20 °C under slightly stronger insolation, while overnight lows near 11–12 °C confirm the winter baseline. These conditions align with historical August averages of 16–18 °C and explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official agency briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,075วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions the daily maximum near 18–19 °C for Cape Town on 23 August 2026, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and moderate southerly winds that limit daytime warming. Model guidance shows afternoon peaks of 17–18 °C at Cape Town International Airport, with some runs reaching 19–20 °C under slightly stronger insolation, while overnight lows near 11–12 °C confirm the winter baseline. These conditions align with historical August averages of 16–18 °C and explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official agency briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,075วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions the daily maximum near 18–19 °C for Cape Town on 23 August 2026, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and moderate southerly winds that limit daytime warming. Model guidance shows afternoon peaks of 17–18 °C at Cape Town International Airport, with some runs reaching 19–20 °C under slightly stronger insolation, while overnight lows near 11–12 °C confirm the winter baseline. These conditions align with historical August averages of 16–18 °C and explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official agency briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย