**Trader consensus strongly favors an 8°C minimum in Cape Town on August 23, with 98% implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources aligned with the South African Weather Service and international models indicate clear skies, light southerly winds, and radiative cooling overnight under high pressure, producing a minimum near 8°C at representative stations such as Cape Town International Airport. Daytime maxima reached 17–18°C earlier, consistent with seasonal August norms of roughly 10–13°C lows. The market reflects this model consensus and recent stable conditions, with minimal precipitation or frontal activity to alter temperatures. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold-air outbreak or localized station-specific drop below the threshold, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before midnight resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 23?
8°C 98%
7°C 2%
6°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
98%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
8°C 98%
7°C 2%
6°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
6°C or below
$439 ปริมาณ
1%
7°C
$148 ปริมาณ
2%
8°C
$241 ปริมาณ
98%
9°C
$916 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$458 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$472 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$571 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$413 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$43 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$1,259 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C or higher
$1,303 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors an 8°C minimum in Cape Town on August 23, with 98% implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources aligned with the South African Weather Service and international models indicate clear skies, light southerly winds, and radiative cooling overnight under high pressure, producing a minimum near 8°C at representative stations such as Cape Town International Airport. Daytime maxima reached 17–18°C earlier, consistent with seasonal August norms of roughly 10–13°C lows. The market reflects this model consensus and recent stable conditions, with minimal precipitation or frontal activity to alter temperatures. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold-air outbreak or localized station-specific drop below the threshold, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,263วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors an 8°C minimum in Cape Town on August 23, with 98% implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources aligned with the South African Weather Service and international models indicate clear skies, light southerly winds, and radiative cooling overnight under high pressure, producing a minimum near 8°C at representative stations such as Cape Town International Airport. Daytime maxima reached 17–18°C earlier, consistent with seasonal August norms of roughly 10–13°C lows. The market reflects this model consensus and recent stable conditions, with minimal precipitation or frontal activity to alter temperatures. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold-air outbreak or localized station-specific drop below the threshold, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,263วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors an 8°C minimum in Cape Town on August 23, with 98% implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources aligned with the South African Weather Service and international models indicate clear skies, light southerly winds, and radiative cooling overnight under high pressure, producing a minimum near 8°C at representative stations such as Cape Town International Airport. Daytime maxima reached 17–18°C earlier, consistent with seasonal August norms of roughly 10–13°C lows. The market reflects this model consensus and recent stable conditions, with minimal precipitation or frontal activity to alter temperatures. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold-air outbreak or localized station-specific drop below the threshold, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before midnight resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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