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icon for Победитель выборов магистрата округа Илань

Победитель выборов магистрата округа Илань

icon for Победитель выборов магистрата округа Илань

Победитель выборов магистрата округа Илань

Линь Го-чан 55%

У Цзунсянь 41%

Чэнь Ваньхуэй 5%

Чжан Шэндэ 2.5%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Линь Го-чан 55%

У Цзунсянь 41%

Чэнь Ваньхуэй 5%

Чжан Шэндэ 2.5%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Линь Го-чан

Линь Го-чан

$1,108 Объем

55%

icon for У Цзунсянь

У Цзунсянь

$1,114 Объем

41%

icon for Чэнь Ваньхуэй

Чэнь Ваньхуэй

$293 Объем

5%

icon for Чжан Шэндэ

Чжан Шэндэ

$253 Объем

3%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).In Taiwan's November 28 local elections, trader sentiment on the Yilan County magistrate race reflects a close contest between DPP candidate Lin Kuo-chang and KMT nominee Wu Tsung-hsien. Early 2026 polling showed Lin ahead in head-to-head and multi-candidate scenarios, supporting his modest market lead, while joint KMT-TPP surveys in May narrowed the gap and confirmed Wu as the opposition standard-bearer after Chen Wan-hui's lower support. The tight pricing stems from Taiwan's typical local election patterns of partisan competition, limited recent polling shifts, and uncertainty over turnout and local issues. Further separation could arise from candidate debates, late campaign developments, or updated surveys closer to election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$2,769
Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).In Taiwan's November 28 local elections, trader sentiment on the Yilan County magistrate race reflects a close contest between DPP candidate Lin Kuo-chang and KMT nominee Wu Tsung-hsien. Early 2026 polling showed Lin ahead in head-to-head and multi-candidate scenarios, supporting his modest market lead, while joint KMT-TPP surveys in May narrowed the gap and confirmed Wu as the opposition standard-bearer after Chen Wan-hui's lower support. The tight pricing stems from Taiwan's typical local election patterns of partisan competition, limited recent polling shifts, and uncertainty over turnout and local issues. Further separation could arise from candidate debates, late campaign developments, or updated surveys closer to election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$2,769
Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов магистрата округа Илань» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Линь Го-чан» с 55%, за ним следует «У Цзунсянь» с 41%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 55¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 55%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов магистрата округа Илань» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 14, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Илань», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Илань» — «Линь Го-чан» с 55%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 55%. Следующий ближайший исход — «У Цзунсянь» с 41%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Илань» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.