Xi Jinping’s consolidated authority through sustained anti-corruption purges of senior military and party figures, including recent removals from the Central Military Commission, has reinforced his dominance ahead of the 21st Party Congress expected in late 2027. At age 73, he shows no public sign of stepping down or designating a successor, instead elevating trusted allies such as Cai Qi to manage elite transitions while preserving his own position. These moves align with trader consensus reflected in the 95.8% probability against removal before 2027. Realistic shifts could still arise from an abrupt health development, a major external crisis exposing elite fractures, or an unprecedented postponement of the congress, though such events lack current supporting evidence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСи Цзиньпин выйдет до 2027 года?
Да
$13,000,288 Объем
$13,000,288 Объем
Да
$13,000,288 Объем
$13,000,288 Объем
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Кто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...Xi Jinping’s consolidated authority through sustained anti-corruption purges of senior military and party figures, including recent removals from the Central Military Commission, has reinforced his dominance ahead of the 21st Party Congress expected in late 2027. At age 73, he shows no public sign of stepping down or designating a successor, instead elevating trusted allies such as Cai Qi to manage elite transitions while preserving his own position. These moves align with trader consensus reflected in the 95.8% probability against removal before 2027. Realistic shifts could still arise from an abrupt health development, a major external crisis exposing elite fractures, or an unprecedented postponement of the congress, though such events lack current supporting evidence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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