Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption drive and emphasis on political loyalty continue to shape expectations for further removals in 2026, with the People’s Liberation Army remaining the primary focus after the January 2026 investigations of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli. These actions follow the removal or disappearance of over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022, including multiple CMC members, leaving the commission with minimal active military representation beyond Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin. Additional probes, such as the April 2026 case involving former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui, signal the campaign’s reach into civilian leadership circles. Traders monitor discipline inspection reports, plenum outcomes, and preparations for the 2027 Party Congress, where personnel reshuffles could accelerate to install reliable figures ahead of institutional transitions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$199,220 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Дун Цзюнь
12%
Чжан Шэнмин
7%
Цай Ци
5%
Чжао Лэцзи
5%
Дин Сюэсян
4%
Ван Хунин
4%
Ли Си
3%
Ван И
2%
Ли Цян
2%
$199,220 Объем
Дун Цзюнь
$37,884 Объем
12%
Чжан Шэнмин
$28,278 Объем
7%
Цай Ци
$43,367 Объем
5%
Чжао Лэцзи
$10,974 Объем
5%
Дин Сюэсян
$16,099 Объем
4%
Ван Хунин
$11,823 Объем
4%
Ли Си
$28,277 Объем
3%
Ван И
$15,668 Объем
2%
Ли Цян
$6,851 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption drive and emphasis on political loyalty continue to shape expectations for further removals in 2026, with the People’s Liberation Army remaining the primary focus after the January 2026 investigations of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli. These actions follow the removal or disappearance of over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022, including multiple CMC members, leaving the commission with minimal active military representation beyond Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin. Additional probes, such as the April 2026 case involving former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui, signal the campaign’s reach into civilian leadership circles. Traders monitor discipline inspection reports, plenum outcomes, and preparations for the 2027 Party Congress, where personnel reshuffles could accelerate to install reliable figures ahead of institutional transitions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Объем
$199,220Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption drive and emphasis on political loyalty continue to shape expectations for further removals in 2026, with the People’s Liberation Army remaining the primary focus after the January 2026 investigations of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli. These actions follow the removal or disappearance of over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022, including multiple CMC members, leaving the commission with minimal active military representation beyond Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin. Additional probes, such as the April 2026 case involving former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui, signal the campaign’s reach into civilian leadership circles. Traders monitor discipline inspection reports, plenum outcomes, and preparations for the 2027 Party Congress, where personnel reshuffles could accelerate to install reliable figures ahead of institutional transitions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$199,220Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption drive and emphasis on political loyalty continue to shape expectations for further removals in 2026, with the People’s Liberation Army remaining the primary focus after the January 2026 investigations of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli. These actions follow the removal or disappearance of over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022, including multiple CMC members, leaving the commission with minimal active military representation beyond Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin. Additional probes, such as the April 2026 case involving former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui, signal the campaign’s reach into civilian leadership circles. Traders monitor discipline inspection reports, plenum outcomes, and preparations for the 2027 Party Congress, where personnel reshuffles could accelerate to install reliable figures ahead of institutional transitions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы