Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden holds a commanding position in the Texas 5th congressional district race, with traders assigning his candidacy a 94.5% implied probability of victory over Democratic challenger Chelsey Hockett. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 to R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent federal contests, underpins this consensus. Gooden secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand. Hockett advanced through a May Democratic runoff but operates with limited resources and visibility. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late-cycle national shifts, turnout surges in Democratic-leaning areas, or unforeseen developments could narrow margins, though no such catalysts have emerged to date ahead of the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$41,560 Объем
$41,560 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Ланс Гуден (Р)
95%
Челси Хокетт (Д)
7%
$41,560 Объем
$41,560 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Ланс Гуден (Р)
$16,994 Объем
95%
Челси Хокетт (Д)
$24,566 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden holds a commanding position in the Texas 5th congressional district race, with traders assigning his candidacy a 94.5% implied probability of victory over Democratic challenger Chelsey Hockett. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 to R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent federal contests, underpins this consensus. Gooden secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand. Hockett advanced through a May Democratic runoff but operates with limited resources and visibility. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late-cycle national shifts, turnout surges in Democratic-leaning areas, or unforeseen developments could narrow margins, though no such catalysts have emerged to date ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$41,560Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden holds a commanding position in the Texas 5th congressional district race, with traders assigning his candidacy a 94.5% implied probability of victory over Democratic challenger Chelsey Hockett. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 to R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent federal contests, underpins this consensus. Gooden secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand. Hockett advanced through a May Democratic runoff but operates with limited resources and visibility. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late-cycle national shifts, turnout surges in Democratic-leaning areas, or unforeseen developments could narrow margins, though no such catalysts have emerged to date ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$41,560Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden holds a commanding position in the Texas 5th congressional district race, with traders assigning his candidacy a 94.5% implied probability of victory over Democratic challenger Chelsey Hockett. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 to R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent federal contests, underpins this consensus. Gooden secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand. Hockett advanced through a May Democratic runoff but operates with limited resources and visibility. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late-cycle national shifts, turnout surges in Democratic-leaning areas, or unforeseen developments could narrow margins, though no such catalysts have emerged to date ahead of the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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