Recent South African CPI data and central bank guidance point to 2026 annual inflation centering near 4.4%, the South African Reserve Bank’s current baseline forecast, as elevated fuel costs from Middle East supply disruptions pushed June’s headline rate to a two-year high of 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July. The SARB raised its 2026 projection by 0.7 percentage points in May after noting persistent transport and services pressures, while maintaining the repo rate at 7% and signaling a data-dependent stance ahead of the September 23 meeting. Trader positioning clusters around the 4.4–5.0% range because monthly volatility in oil-linked components and the uncertain duration of geopolitical effects create balanced risks around the official outlook, with core inflation holding near 4.2% and expectations surveys showing only gradual convergence toward the 3% target.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено4,7-5,0% 26.6%
4,4-4,7% 21.3%
>5,0% 18.4%
2,9-3,2% 4.9%
$42,503 Объем
$42,503 Объем
19 янв. 2027 г.
<2,6%
<1%
2,6–2,9%
<1%
2,9-3,2%
5%
3,2-3,5%
3%
3,5–3,8%
4%
3,8-4,1%
4%
4,1-4,4%
4%
4,4-4,7%
21%
4,7-5,0%
27%
>5,0%
18%
4,7-5,0% 26.6%
4,4-4,7% 21.3%
>5,0% 18.4%
2,9-3,2% 4.9%
$42,503 Объем
$42,503 Объем
19 янв. 2027 г.
<2,6%
$1,219 Объем
<1%
2,6–2,9%
$1,864 Объем
<1%
2,9-3,2%
$1,564 Объем
5%
3,2-3,5%
$1,245 Объем
3%
3,5–3,8%
$1,798 Объем
4%
3,8-4,1%
$3,448 Объем
4%
4,1-4,4%
$3,409 Объем
4%
4,4-4,7%
$14,995 Объем
21%
4,7-5,0%
$3,898 Объем
27%
>5,0%
$9,062 Объем
18%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent South African CPI data and central bank guidance point to 2026 annual inflation centering near 4.4%, the South African Reserve Bank’s current baseline forecast, as elevated fuel costs from Middle East supply disruptions pushed June’s headline rate to a two-year high of 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July. The SARB raised its 2026 projection by 0.7 percentage points in May after noting persistent transport and services pressures, while maintaining the repo rate at 7% and signaling a data-dependent stance ahead of the September 23 meeting. Trader positioning clusters around the 4.4–5.0% range because monthly volatility in oil-linked components and the uncertain duration of geopolitical effects create balanced risks around the official outlook, with core inflation holding near 4.2% and expectations surveys showing only gradual convergence toward the 3% target.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Открытие рынка: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Объем
$42,503Дата окончания
20 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent South African CPI data and central bank guidance point to 2026 annual inflation centering near 4.4%, the South African Reserve Bank’s current baseline forecast, as elevated fuel costs from Middle East supply disruptions pushed June’s headline rate to a two-year high of 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July. The SARB raised its 2026 projection by 0.7 percentage points in May after noting persistent transport and services pressures, while maintaining the repo rate at 7% and signaling a data-dependent stance ahead of the September 23 meeting. Trader positioning clusters around the 4.4–5.0% range because monthly volatility in oil-linked components and the uncertain duration of geopolitical effects create balanced risks around the official outlook, with core inflation holding near 4.2% and expectations surveys showing only gradual convergence toward the 3% target.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Объем
$42,503Дата окончания
20 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Recent South African CPI data and central bank guidance point to 2026 annual inflation centering near 4.4%, the South African Reserve Bank’s current baseline forecast, as elevated fuel costs from Middle East supply disruptions pushed June’s headline rate to a two-year high of 5.0% before easing to 4.3% in July. The SARB raised its 2026 projection by 0.7 percentage points in May after noting persistent transport and services pressures, while maintaining the repo rate at 7% and signaling a data-dependent stance ahead of the September 23 meeting. Trader positioning clusters around the 4.4–5.0% range because monthly volatility in oil-linked components and the uncertain duration of geopolitical effects create balanced risks around the official outlook, with core inflation holding near 4.2% and expectations surveys showing only gradual convergence toward the 3% target.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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