The closely matched odds between Netanyahu at 39.5% and "none before 2027" at 36.5% stem from persistent coalition pressures and security challenges in Israel that raise the chance of an early exit, balanced against institutional resilience that has kept other listed leaders in office. Lower-probability contenders such as Rodríguez, Díaz-Canel, Sánchez, and Zelenskyy trail due to recent electoral mandates, party discipline, or wartime continuity that reduce near-term turnover risks. Traders monitor scheduled votes, diplomatic timelines, and legislative tests through 2026 as potential separators, with any single resignation or snap election capable of shifting the field before the 2027 cutoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года? (Без Starmer или Petro)
Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года? (Без Starmer или Petro)
Нетаньяху - премьер-министр Израиля 40%
Никто до 2027 года 37%
Родригес - и.о. президента Венесуэлы 5.1%
Диас-Канель — Президент Кубы 4.0%
$264,873 Объем
$264,873 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Нетаньяху - премьер-министр Израиля
40%
Никто до 2027 года
37%
Родригес - и.о. президента Венесуэлы
5%
Диас-Канель — Президент Кубы
4%
Санчес — премьер-министр Испании
2%
Зеленский — Президент Украины
2%
Эрдоган – Президент Турции
2%
Макрон — Президент Франции
2%
Лула да Силва - Президент Бразилии
2%
Трамп - Президент США
1%
Си — Генеральный секретарь КПК
1%
Путин — президент России
1%
Мерц - Федеральный канцлер Германии
1%
Аббас — президент Палестины
1%
Лекорню - Премьер-министр Франции
1%
Такаити - премьер-министр Японии
1%
Ким — Верховный лидер Северной Кореи
<1%
Ньюсом — губернатор Калифорнии
<1%
Албанезе - премьер-министр Австралии
<1%
аль-Шараа - Президент Сирии
<1%
Шейнбаум - Президент Мексики
<1%
Милей — Президент Аргентины
<1%
Нетаньяху - премьер-министр Израиля 40%
Никто до 2027 года 37%
Родригес - и.о. президента Венесуэлы 5.1%
Диас-Канель — Президент Кубы 4.0%
$264,873 Объем
$264,873 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Нетаньяху - премьер-министр Израиля
$29,096 Объем
40%
Никто до 2027 года
$87,895 Объем
37%
Родригес - и.о. президента Венесуэлы
$12,360 Объем
5%
Диас-Канель — Президент Кубы
$11,188 Объем
4%
Санчес — премьер-министр Испании
$7,405 Объем
2%
Зеленский — Президент Украины
$6,649 Объем
2%
Эрдоган – Президент Турции
$10,105 Объем
2%
Макрон — Президент Франции
$9,989 Объем
2%
Лула да Силва - Президент Бразилии
$6,523 Объем
2%
Трамп - Президент США
$5,243 Объем
1%
Си — Генеральный секретарь КПК
$9,114 Объем
1%
Путин — президент России
$6,377 Объем
1%
Мерц - Федеральный канцлер Германии
$5,676 Объем
1%
Аббас — президент Палестины
$7,327 Объем
1%
Лекорню - Премьер-министр Франции
$6,835 Объем
1%
Такаити - премьер-министр Японии
$5,436 Объем
1%
Ким — Верховный лидер Северной Кореи
$4,953 Объем
<1%
Ньюсом — губернатор Калифорнии
$4,632 Объем
<1%
Албанезе - премьер-министр Австралии
$6,530 Объем
<1%
аль-Шараа - Президент Сирии
$7,918 Объем
<1%
Шейнбаум - Президент Мексики
$6,737 Объем
<1%
Милей — Президент Аргентины
$6,885 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The closely matched odds between Netanyahu at 39.5% and "none before 2027" at 36.5% stem from persistent coalition pressures and security challenges in Israel that raise the chance of an early exit, balanced against institutional resilience that has kept other listed leaders in office. Lower-probability contenders such as Rodríguez, Díaz-Canel, Sánchez, and Zelenskyy trail due to recent electoral mandates, party discipline, or wartime continuity that reduce near-term turnover risks. Traders monitor scheduled votes, diplomatic timelines, and legislative tests through 2026 as potential separators, with any single resignation or snap election capable of shifting the field before the 2027 cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ET
Объем
$264,873Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The closely matched odds between Netanyahu at 39.5% and "none before 2027" at 36.5% stem from persistent coalition pressures and security challenges in Israel that raise the chance of an early exit, balanced against institutional resilience that has kept other listed leaders in office. Lower-probability contenders such as Rodríguez, Díaz-Canel, Sánchez, and Zelenskyy trail due to recent electoral mandates, party discipline, or wartime continuity that reduce near-term turnover risks. Traders monitor scheduled votes, diplomatic timelines, and legislative tests through 2026 as potential separators, with any single resignation or snap election capable of shifting the field before the 2027 cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$264,873Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched odds between Netanyahu at 39.5% and "none before 2027" at 36.5% stem from persistent coalition pressures and security challenges in Israel that raise the chance of an early exit, balanced against institutional resilience that has kept other listed leaders in office. Lower-probability contenders such as Rodríguez, Díaz-Canel, Sánchez, and Zelenskyy trail due to recent electoral mandates, party discipline, or wartime continuity that reduce near-term turnover risks. Traders monitor scheduled votes, diplomatic timelines, and legislative tests through 2026 as potential separators, with any single resignation or snap election capable of shifting the field before the 2027 cutoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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