Recent moderate posting rhythms on X, averaging roughly 25-35 posts per day amid routine Tesla updates like Cybercab details and platform commentary, anchor trader consensus around the 180-239 range for the September 4-11 window. With no major political controversies or election-cycle spikes to accelerate volume, the market-implied odds reflect a cooldown from 2025 peaks, aligning with recent weekly settlements in the 160-239 bands. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether steady business engagement sustains this pace or unexpected news events push counts higher, while historical variability in Elon's daily activity keeps lower and upper brackets in play as swing outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено200-219 19%
180-199 17%
220-239 16%
240-259 14.9%
$213,294 Объем
$213,294 Объем
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
1%
140-159
3%
160–179
9%
180-199
17%
200-219
19%
220-239
16%
240-259
15%
260-279
10%
280–299
6%
300-319
3%
320–339
2%
340–359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 19%
180-199 17%
220-239 16%
240-259 14.9%
$213,294 Объем
$213,294 Объем
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
1%
140-159
3%
160–179
9%
180-199
17%
200-219
19%
220-239
16%
240-259
15%
260-279
10%
280–299
6%
300-319
3%
320–339
2%
340–359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderate posting rhythms on X, averaging roughly 25-35 posts per day amid routine Tesla updates like Cybercab details and platform commentary, anchor trader consensus around the 180-239 range for the September 4-11 window. With no major political controversies or election-cycle spikes to accelerate volume, the market-implied odds reflect a cooldown from 2025 peaks, aligning with recent weekly settlements in the 160-239 bands. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether steady business engagement sustains this pace or unexpected news events push counts higher, while historical variability in Elon's daily activity keeps lower and upper brackets in play as swing outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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