Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X positions the 40-64 tweet range as the market frontrunner for the September 5-7 window, reflecting trader assessment of his baseline activity absent major breaking events. Recent patterns show daily volumes fluctuating between roughly 15 and 50 original posts plus replies, with quieter stretches producing totals in that band over three days. Ongoing Tesla and xAI commentary, plus routine engagement with followers, sustain steady output without the election-style spikes that previously pushed daily counts above 100. No high-profile appearances, product launches, or regulatory developments are scheduled to drive unusual volume or suppress it. Traders are therefore weighting historical averages and the lack of catalysts more heavily than outlier scenarios.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено40-64 47%
65-89 30%
Менее 40 19%
90-114 6.9%
НОВОЕ
$30,976 Объем
НОВОЕ
$30,976 Объем
7 сент. 2026 г.
Менее 40
19%
40-64
47%
65-89
30%
90-114
7%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 47%
65-89 30%
Менее 40 19%
90-114 6.9%
НОВОЕ
$30,976 Объем
НОВОЕ
$30,976 Объем
7 сент. 2026 г.
Менее 40
$5,930 Объем
19%
40-64
$5,367 Объем
47%
65-89
$5,122 Объем
30%
90-114
$4,149 Объем
7%
115-139
$2,004 Объем
1%
140-164
$2,625 Объем
<1%
165-189
$1,666 Объем
<1%
190-214
$2,191 Объем
<1%
215-239
$829 Объем
<1%
240+
$1,099 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X positions the 40-64 tweet range as the market frontrunner for the September 5-7 window, reflecting trader assessment of his baseline activity absent major breaking events. Recent patterns show daily volumes fluctuating between roughly 15 and 50 original posts plus replies, with quieter stretches producing totals in that band over three days. Ongoing Tesla and xAI commentary, plus routine engagement with followers, sustain steady output without the election-style spikes that previously pushed daily counts above 100. No high-profile appearances, product launches, or regulatory developments are scheduled to drive unusual volume or suppress it. Traders are therefore weighting historical averages and the lack of catalysts more heavily than outlier scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Объем
$30,976Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X positions the 40-64 tweet range as the market frontrunner for the September 5-7 window, reflecting trader assessment of his baseline activity absent major breaking events. Recent patterns show daily volumes fluctuating between roughly 15 and 50 original posts plus replies, with quieter stretches producing totals in that band over three days. Ongoing Tesla and xAI commentary, plus routine engagement with followers, sustain steady output without the election-style spikes that previously pushed daily counts above 100. No high-profile appearances, product launches, or regulatory developments are scheduled to drive unusual volume or suppress it. Traders are therefore weighting historical averages and the lack of catalysts more heavily than outlier scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$30,976Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X positions the 40-64 tweet range as the market frontrunner for the September 5-7 window, reflecting trader assessment of his baseline activity absent major breaking events. Recent patterns show daily volumes fluctuating between roughly 15 and 50 original posts plus replies, with quieter stretches producing totals in that band over three days. Ongoing Tesla and xAI commentary, plus routine engagement with followers, sustain steady output without the election-style spikes that previously pushed daily counts above 100. No high-profile appearances, product launches, or regulatory developments are scheduled to drive unusual volume or suppress it. Traders are therefore weighting historical averages and the lack of catalysts more heavily than outlier scenarios.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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