Elon Musk’s October 2026 tweet volume remains highly uncertain, with Polymarket traders assigning nearly identical implied probabilities across dozens of ranges because his posting rate fluctuates sharply with business demands, platform priorities, and external events. Recent data shows averages of 40–55 posts per day, driven by quick reactions to news, AI developments, and X-related commentary, yet spikes or slowdowns occur during intense Tesla or SpaceX periods. Key swing factors for October include any major product launches, regulatory developments, or sustained political engagement that could either amplify or suppress activity. Without clear catalysts visible months ahead, the market reflects broad dispersion rather than a narrow consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено360-379 60%
380-399 60%
400-419 60%
420-439 60%
<20
50%
20-39
10%
40-59
26%
60-79
50%
80-99
50%
100-119
49%
120-139
49%
140-159
49%
160-179
49%
180-199
49%
200-219
49%
220-239
49%
240-259
49%
260-279
49%
280-299
49%
300-319
49%
320-339
49%
340-359
49%
360-379
60%
380-399
60%
400-419
60%
420-439
60%
440-459
60%
460-479
60%
480-499
31%
500-519
31%
520-539
31%
540-559
31%
560-579
31%
580-599
31%
600-619
31%
620-639
6%
640-659
31%
660-679
31%
680-699
31%
700-719
31%
720-739
31%
740-759
6%
760-779
6%
780-799
6%
800-839
6%
840-879
6%
880-919
6%
920-959
6%
960-999
6%
1000+
31%
360-379 60%
380-399 60%
400-419 60%
420-439 60%
<20
50%
20-39
10%
40-59
26%
60-79
50%
80-99
50%
100-119
49%
120-139
49%
140-159
49%
160-179
49%
180-199
49%
200-219
49%
220-239
49%
240-259
49%
260-279
49%
280-299
49%
300-319
49%
320-339
49%
340-359
49%
360-379
60%
380-399
60%
400-419
60%
420-439
60%
440-459
60%
460-479
60%
480-499
31%
500-519
31%
520-539
31%
540-559
31%
560-579
31%
580-599
31%
600-619
31%
620-639
6%
640-659
31%
660-679
31%
680-699
31%
700-719
31%
720-739
31%
740-759
6%
760-779
6%
780-799
6%
800-839
6%
840-879
6%
880-919
6%
920-959
6%
960-999
6%
1000+
31%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s October 2026 tweet volume remains highly uncertain, with Polymarket traders assigning nearly identical implied probabilities across dozens of ranges because his posting rate fluctuates sharply with business demands, platform priorities, and external events. Recent data shows averages of 40–55 posts per day, driven by quick reactions to news, AI developments, and X-related commentary, yet spikes or slowdowns occur during intense Tesla or SpaceX periods. Key swing factors for October include any major product launches, regulatory developments, or sustained political engagement that could either amplify or suppress activity. Without clear catalysts visible months ahead, the market reflects broad dispersion rather than a narrow consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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