Recent weekly tweet totals for Elon Musk have fluctuated sharply between roughly 100 and 250 posts, producing a broad distribution of market-implied odds centered on the 220–259 range. Recent trackers show daily averages near 30–40 posts on active weeks, tempered by lower weekend volume and quiet stretches below 150 total. With no major product launches, regulatory events, or high-profile controversies confirmed for the August 25–September 1 window, traders appear to price in baseline activity levels while allowing room for news-driven spikes. The tight spread across 180–279 brackets reflects this uncertainty, as even modest shifts in engagement or breaking developments could push the final count outside the current consensus bands.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено220-239 14%
240-259 13%
180-199 12%
200-219 12%
НОВОЕ
$17,116 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,116 Объем
1 сент. 2026 г.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
5%
160-179
8%
180-199
12%
200-219
12%
220-239
14%
240-259
13%
260-279
11%
280-299
7%
300-319
5%
320-339
3%
340-359
2%
360-379
2%
380-399
2%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500+
1%
220-239 14%
240-259 13%
180-199 12%
200-219 12%
НОВОЕ
$17,116 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,116 Объем
1 сент. 2026 г.
<20
$1,571 Объем
<1%
20-39
$1,571 Объем
<1%
40-59
$571 Объем
<1%
60-79
$3,576 Объем
<1%
80-99
$441 Объем
1%
100-119
$437 Объем
1%
120-139
$284 Объем
3%
140-159
$265 Объем
5%
160-179
$531 Объем
8%
180-199
$88 Объем
12%
200-219
$469 Объем
12%
220-239
$816 Объем
14%
240-259
$1,116 Объем
13%
260-279
$612 Объем
11%
280-299
$167 Объем
7%
300-319
$75 Объем
5%
320-339
$92 Объем
3%
340-359
$243 Объем
2%
360-379
$416 Объем
2%
380-399
$741 Объем
2%
400-419
$673 Объем
2%
420-439
$792 Объем
1%
440-459
$251 Объем
1%
460-479
$244 Объем
1%
480-499
$373 Объем
1%
500+
$700 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent weekly tweet totals for Elon Musk have fluctuated sharply between roughly 100 and 250 posts, producing a broad distribution of market-implied odds centered on the 220–259 range. Recent trackers show daily averages near 30–40 posts on active weeks, tempered by lower weekend volume and quiet stretches below 150 total. With no major product launches, regulatory events, or high-profile controversies confirmed for the August 25–September 1 window, traders appear to price in baseline activity levels while allowing room for news-driven spikes. The tight spread across 180–279 brackets reflects this uncertainty, as even modest shifts in engagement or breaking developments could push the final count outside the current consensus bands.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Объем
$17,116Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent weekly tweet totals for Elon Musk have fluctuated sharply between roughly 100 and 250 posts, producing a broad distribution of market-implied odds centered on the 220–259 range. Recent trackers show daily averages near 30–40 posts on active weeks, tempered by lower weekend volume and quiet stretches below 150 total. With no major product launches, regulatory events, or high-profile controversies confirmed for the August 25–September 1 window, traders appear to price in baseline activity levels while allowing room for news-driven spikes. The tight spread across 180–279 brackets reflects this uncertainty, as even modest shifts in engagement or breaking developments could push the final count outside the current consensus bands.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$17,116Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weekly tweet totals for Elon Musk have fluctuated sharply between roughly 100 and 250 posts, producing a broad distribution of market-implied odds centered on the 220–259 range. Recent trackers show daily averages near 30–40 posts on active weeks, tempered by lower weekend volume and quiet stretches below 150 total. With no major product launches, regulatory events, or high-profile controversies confirmed for the August 25–September 1 window, traders appear to price in baseline activity levels while allowing room for news-driven spikes. The tight spread across 180–279 brackets reflects this uncertainty, as even modest shifts in engagement or breaking developments could push the final count outside the current consensus bands.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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