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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 43%

Jacob Elordi 12%

No Bond chosen 9%

Harris Dickinson 7.0%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Callum Turner 43%

Jacob Elordi 12%

No Bond chosen 9%

Harris Dickinson 7.0%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Callum Turner

$163 Объем

36%

Jacob Elordi

$106 Объем

12%

No Bond chosen

$107 Объем

9%

Harris Dickinson

$123 Объем

7%

Jack Lowdon

$94 Объем

7%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$364 Объем

5%

Henry Cavill

$89 Объем

4%

Josh O'Connor

$1,524 Объем

4%

James Norton

$124 Объем

3%

Theo James

$178 Объем

3%

Michael B Jordan

$101 Объем

3%

Paul Mescal

$128 Объем

3%

Tom Hardy

$85 Объем

3%

Timothee Chalamet

$116 Объем

3%

Robert James-Collier

$85 Объем

3%

Tom Holland

$87 Объем

3%

Pierce Brosnan

$139 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official start of auditions in May 2026, led by casting director Nina Gold for Amazon MGM Studios and director Denis Villeneuve, has sharpened trader focus on the next Bond. Callum Turner leads at 36% implied probability due to his British background, age in the targeted late-20s to mid-30s range, and recent high-profile work in Masters of the Air and the Fantastic Beasts franchise, aligning with persistent insider reports favoring an established yet not overexposed actor. Jacob Elordi sits at 10.5% amid mentions of meetings with producers and his Oscar-nominated turn in Frankenstein, though his Australian origins introduce some uncertainty around the British preference. The wide field, including lower-odds names like Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson, reflects the emphasis on a “fresh face” and the early stage of the process, with no casting confirmed and historical precedent for late shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$3,614
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official start of auditions in May 2026, led by casting director Nina Gold for Amazon MGM Studios and director Denis Villeneuve, has sharpened trader focus on the next Bond. Callum Turner leads at 36% implied probability due to his British background, age in the targeted late-20s to mid-30s range, and recent high-profile work in Masters of the Air and the Fantastic Beasts franchise, aligning with persistent insider reports favoring an established yet not overexposed actor. Jacob Elordi sits at 10.5% amid mentions of meetings with producers and his Oscar-nominated turn in Frankenstein, though his Australian origins introduce some uncertainty around the British preference. The wide field, including lower-odds names like Harris Dickinson and Aaron Taylor-Johnson, reflects the emphasis on a “fresh face” and the early stage of the process, with no casting confirmed and historical precedent for late shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$3,614
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next James Bond actor?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 17 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Callum Turner» с 36%, за ним следует «Jacob Elordi» с 12%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 36¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 36%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Next James Bond actor?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 18, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Next James Bond actor?», просмотри 17 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next James Bond actor?» — «Callum Turner» с 36%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 36%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Jacob Elordi» с 12%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Next James Bond actor?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.