Incumbent Republican Mark Alford secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Jordan Herrera in the November 3 general election. Missouri’s 4th district remains a reliably conservative seat with a predominantly rural electorate and consistent Republican margins exceeding 40 points in recent presidential voting. Alford’s strong primary performance and the district’s structural tilt have produced broad trader consensus around a Republican hold. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic fundraising and organizational reach in the area. While a national Democratic surge or unforeseen candidate controversy could narrow the gap, historical voting patterns and incumbency advantages make significant shifts improbable before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMO-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MO-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$44,542 Объем
$44,542 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
92%
Демократическая партия
9%
$44,542 Объем
$44,542 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$28,293 Объем
92%
Демократическая партия
$16,249 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Alford secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Jordan Herrera in the November 3 general election. Missouri’s 4th district remains a reliably conservative seat with a predominantly rural electorate and consistent Republican margins exceeding 40 points in recent presidential voting. Alford’s strong primary performance and the district’s structural tilt have produced broad trader consensus around a Republican hold. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic fundraising and organizational reach in the area. While a national Democratic surge or unforeseen candidate controversy could narrow the gap, historical voting patterns and incumbency advantages make significant shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$44,542Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Alford secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Jordan Herrera in the November 3 general election. Missouri’s 4th district remains a reliably conservative seat with a predominantly rural electorate and consistent Republican margins exceeding 40 points in recent presidential voting. Alford’s strong primary performance and the district’s structural tilt have produced broad trader consensus around a Republican hold. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic fundraising and organizational reach in the area. While a national Democratic surge or unforeseen candidate controversy could narrow the gap, historical voting patterns and incumbency advantages make significant shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$44,542Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mark Alford secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Jordan Herrera in the November 3 general election. Missouri’s 4th district remains a reliably conservative seat with a predominantly rural electorate and consistent Republican margins exceeding 40 points in recent presidential voting. Alford’s strong primary performance and the district’s structural tilt have produced broad trader consensus around a Republican hold. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic fundraising and organizational reach in the area. While a national Democratic surge or unforeseen candidate controversy could narrow the gap, historical voting patterns and incumbency advantages make significant shifts improbable before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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