Minnesota's 7th congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Republican seats, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Michelle Fischbach secured renomination in the August 2026 primary with a comfortable margin, while Democrat Erik Osberg advanced on the other side. The district's rural character, western Minnesota location, and R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index underpin consistent double-digit Republican advantages in recent cycles, including a 36-point Trump margin in the prior presidential election. Historical results show GOP candidates routinely exceeding 65-70% in general elections. A major scandal, sharp national partisan swing, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the scope for such shifts before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-07
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-07
$21,281 Объем
$21,281 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
6%
$21,281 Объем
$21,281 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$3,404 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$17,877 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 7th congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Republican seats, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Michelle Fischbach secured renomination in the August 2026 primary with a comfortable margin, while Democrat Erik Osberg advanced on the other side. The district's rural character, western Minnesota location, and R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index underpin consistent double-digit Republican advantages in recent cycles, including a 36-point Trump margin in the prior presidential election. Historical results show GOP candidates routinely exceeding 65-70% in general elections. A major scandal, sharp national partisan swing, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the scope for such shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$21,281Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 7th congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Republican seats, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Michelle Fischbach secured renomination in the August 2026 primary with a comfortable margin, while Democrat Erik Osberg advanced on the other side. The district's rural character, western Minnesota location, and R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index underpin consistent double-digit Republican advantages in recent cycles, including a 36-point Trump margin in the prior presidential election. Historical results show GOP candidates routinely exceeding 65-70% in general elections. A major scandal, sharp national partisan swing, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the scope for such shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$21,281Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 7th congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Republican seats, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Michelle Fischbach secured renomination in the August 2026 primary with a comfortable margin, while Democrat Erik Osberg advanced on the other side. The district's rural character, western Minnesota location, and R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index underpin consistent double-digit Republican advantages in recent cycles, including a 36-point Trump margin in the prior presidential election. Historical results show GOP candidates routinely exceeding 65-70% in general elections. A major scandal, sharp national partisan swing, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the scope for such shifts before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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