Forecast models show notable uncertainty for Wellington's overnight low on August 26, with ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS placing the most likely minimums near 11–13 °C. This clustering matches market-implied odds and stems from competing influences: possible clear-sky radiative cooling under a building high-pressure ridge versus mild northerly advection or increased cloud cover from an approaching weak front. Recent MetService guidance notes variable boundary-layer winds and moisture that can shift minimums by 1–2 °C. Historical late-winter climatology supports this range, while traders weigh the latest model runs against resolution criteria tied to official Wellington observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 26 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 26 августа?
12°C 35%
13°C 30%
11°C 28%
14°C 21%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
1%
9°C
16%
10°C
13%
11°C
28%
12°C
35%
13°C
30%
14°C
21%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C или выше
2%
12°C 35%
13°C 30%
11°C 28%
14°C 21%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
$15 Объем
1%
9°C
$55 Объем
16%
10°C
$10 Объем
13%
11°C
$0 Объем
28%
12°C
$0 Объем
35%
13°C
$0 Объем
30%
14°C
$0 Объем
21%
15°C
$85 Объем
5%
16°C
$5 Объем
1%
17°C
$15 Объем
7%
18°C или выше
$145 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models show notable uncertainty for Wellington's overnight low on August 26, with ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS placing the most likely minimums near 11–13 °C. This clustering matches market-implied odds and stems from competing influences: possible clear-sky radiative cooling under a building high-pressure ridge versus mild northerly advection or increased cloud cover from an approaching weak front. Recent MetService guidance notes variable boundary-layer winds and moisture that can shift minimums by 1–2 °C. Historical late-winter climatology supports this range, while traders weigh the latest model runs against resolution criteria tied to official Wellington observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$330Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models show notable uncertainty for Wellington's overnight low on August 26, with ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS placing the most likely minimums near 11–13 °C. This clustering matches market-implied odds and stems from competing influences: possible clear-sky radiative cooling under a building high-pressure ridge versus mild northerly advection or increased cloud cover from an approaching weak front. Recent MetService guidance notes variable boundary-layer winds and moisture that can shift minimums by 1–2 °C. Historical late-winter climatology supports this range, while traders weigh the latest model runs against resolution criteria tied to official Wellington observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$330Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models show notable uncertainty for Wellington's overnight low on August 26, with ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS placing the most likely minimums near 11–13 °C. This clustering matches market-implied odds and stems from competing influences: possible clear-sky radiative cooling under a building high-pressure ridge versus mild northerly advection or increased cloud cover from an approaching weak front. Recent MetService guidance notes variable boundary-layer winds and moisture that can shift minimums by 1–2 °C. Historical late-winter climatology supports this range, while traders weigh the latest model runs against resolution criteria tied to official Wellington observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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